Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
14 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (297/352) | 83% (298/359) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.52 | 0.21 |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
20 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
84% (297/352) | 83% (298/359) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (20/38) | 38% (16/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (68/96) | 67% (60/89) |
Crosses |
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42% (11/26) | 15% (3/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.82 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
43% (6/14) | 40% (4/10) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 12 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.21 | 3.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.79 | 1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Pierozzi N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diakite S. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
- 52', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),
- 64', 2 - 1, Pierozzi N. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
- 69', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 70', Gyasi E. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 76', Libutti L. ↓, Rozzio P. ↑,
- 79', Ranocchia F. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 79', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 87', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 88', Reinhart T. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 88', Rover M. ↓, Conte O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palermo 59.1% | Draw 24.5% | Reggiana 16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Palermo - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.81) |
3.83 ↑ (3.51) |
5.62 ↑ (4.33) |
5.7% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Palermo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Reggiana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palermo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Palermo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Magnani G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Pettinari S.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Reggiana?
Palermo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Palermo?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Reggiana were as follows:
26.01.2025
Reggiana
-
Palermo
2:1
26.10.2024
Palermo
-
Reggiana
2:0
27.04.2024
Palermo
-
Reggiana
1:2
29.08.2023
Reggiana
-
Palermo
1:3
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Avellino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Bari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Spezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Sudtirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Carrarese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Catanzaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
20 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation