Result
0:3
23/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/424) | 85% (384/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/424) | 85% (384/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/128) | 73% (49/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', Catano D. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Catano D. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Sagredo J. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 33', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
- 38', Meza F. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
- 38', Fernandez J. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Batallini D. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
- 52', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 60', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 60', Fernandez R. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 3, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 67', Catano D. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 74', Carrasco B. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 81', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 82', Torren M. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 82', Robson Matheus ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 87', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino
53.1% | Draw
23.6% | Bolívar
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Palestino - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.7) |
3.97 ↑
(3.62) |
4 ↓
(4.85) |
6.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Palestino - Bolívar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolívar (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
- Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Bolívar?
Palestino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Palestino?
Bolívar has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Bolívar were as follows:
16.07.2025
Bolívar
-
Palestino
3:0
28.05.2024
Bolívar
-
Palestino
3:1
04.04.2024
Palestino
-
Bolívar
0:4
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Bolívar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
