Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/432) | 77% (256/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/432) | 77% (256/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (45/80) | 57% (37/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (58/101) | 70% (106/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Bizama J. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
- 42', Da Silva N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Castro J. ↓, Antinirre H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Carcamo J. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
- 53', Vargas N. 🟨,
- 53', Mellado B. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
- 53', Silva S. ↓, Sepulveda C. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Martinez C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Leon J. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 68', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
- 68', Tapia Paez G. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
- 77', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
- 79', Altez K. ↓, Altamirano L. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Altamirano L. ⚽,
- 87', Fernandez J. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
- 87', Gallegos S. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Huachipato 32% | Draw 29.6% | Palestino 38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huachipato's form might have worsened.Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.
Huachipato - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3 ↑ (2.42) |
3.18 ↑ (3.1) |
2.44 ↓ (2.8) |
5.9% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Huachipato - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Palestino will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huachipato: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Palestino (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Palestino (1.83) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palestino (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 0.
- Recent performances by Huachipato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Palestino could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Palestino?
Huachipato has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Huachipato?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Huachipato - Palestino were as follows:
05.12.2025
Palestino
-
Huachipato
2:2
21.06.2025
Huachipato
-
Palestino
2:2
29.08.2024
Huachipato
-
Palestino
2:2
17.04.2024
Palestino
-
Huachipato
2:0
14.09.2023
Huachipato
-
Palestino
2:2
Latest results of Huachipato
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union La Calera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nublense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | U. De Chile | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Palestino | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | La Serena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Everton | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso