Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 15
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (198/334) | 64% (234/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (198/334) | 64% (234/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/72) | 37% (37/99) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (53/126) | 47% (52/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', Ortega O. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Suarez C. ⚽,
- 36', Garrido B. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
- 46', Garrido B. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
- 46', Figueroa J. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez Jara J. I. ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Martinez C. ⚽, Altamirano L. (A),
- 52', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Altamirano L. ⚽, Martinez C. (A),
- 69', Carrasco B. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 69', Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 72', Ortega O. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 75', Abrigo J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 76', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 87', Castillo A. ↓, Guaiquil N. ↑,
- 90+6', Arias J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Huachipato
31.7% | Draw
27.6% | Palestino
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-2%)
Huachipato - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.94) |
3.4 ↑
(3.27) |
2.33 ↓
(2.39) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Huachipato - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 0.
- Huachipato is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palestino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Huachipato has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Palestino will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Palestino?
Huachipato has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Huachipato?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Huachipato - Palestino were as follows:
29.08.2024
Huachipato
-
Palestino
2:2
17.04.2024
Palestino
-
Huachipato
2:0
14.09.2023
Huachipato
-
Palestino
2:2
03.03.2023
Palestino
-
Huachipato
2:1
05.11.2022
Palestino
-
Huachipato
5:0
Latest results of Huachipato
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
