Result
2:3
27/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 9
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 2.30 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (328/405) | 73% (228/312) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 2.30 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.43 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (328/405) | 73% (228/312) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (40/66) | 36% (23/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (93/117) | 58% (49/85) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (9/40) | 47% (7/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.10 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.82 | 1.43 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.18 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Guerra N. 🟨,
- 11', Suarez C. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 34', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 36', Ramirez N. 🟨,
- 44', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', Parra P. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 61', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 61', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Fernandez L. ⚽, Contreras R. (A),
- 68', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 68', Carrasco B. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez J. ↓, Martinez Arce A. E. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
- 70', Diaz M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 73', Castellon G. 🟨,
- 78', Aranguiz C. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
- 78', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Contreras R. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A),
- 90+3', Moya F. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Marabel J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Palestino 23.8% | Draw 26.3% | Universidad de Chile 49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palestino - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.94 ↑ (3.15) |
3.58 ↑ (3.25) |
1.89 ↓ (2.25) |
6.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palestino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 2.
- Recent matches Palestino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Universidad de Chile is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Universidad de Chile?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Palestino?
Universidad de Chile has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
15.09.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
1:0
09.09.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
0:1
05.09.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
0:5
21.04.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
2:2
22.07.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
0:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
6 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Colo Colo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 25 |
9 | Union La Calera | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso