Result
2:1
13/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 24
- Referee: Araos M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (201/272) | 84% (380/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.72 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (201/272) | 84% (380/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (50/81) | 70% (88/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 40% (10/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 3.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Guerra N. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Guerra N. (A),
- 24', Guerra N. (Pen),
- 25', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 31', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 1, Meza F. ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
- 34', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 41', Tapia I. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
- 45+3', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 52', Guerra N. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 61', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 61', Di Yorio L. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 73', Marabel J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez J. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 77', Benitez J. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
- 81', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 86', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
- 86', Salomoni F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Meza F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Meza F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Castellon G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
56.9% | Draw
25.2% | Palestino
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Universidad de Chile - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.62) |
3.9 ↑
(3.5) |
5.5 ↑
(5.25) |
4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Palestino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
- Universidad de Chile has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palestino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Palestino?
Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Universidad de Chile?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Palestino were as follows:
27.04.2025
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
2:3
15.09.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
1:0
09.09.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
0:1
05.09.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
0:5
21.04.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
2:2
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 28:46 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
