Result
2:3
27/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 9
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (328/405) | 73% (228/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (328/405) | 73% (228/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 36% (23/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (93/117) | 58% (49/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/40) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Guerra N. 🟨,
- 11', Suarez C. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 34', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 36', Ramirez N. 🟨,
- 44', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', Parra P. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 61', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 61', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Fernandez L. ⚽, Contreras R. (A),
- 68', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 68', Carrasco B. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez J. ↓, Martinez Arce A. E. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
- 70', Diaz M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 73', Castellon G. 🟨,
- 78', Aranguiz C. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
- 78', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Contreras R. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A),
- 90+3', Moya F. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Marabel J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Palestino
23.8% | Draw
26.3% | Universidad de Chile
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palestino - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.15) |
3.58 ↑
(3.25) |
1.89 ↓
(2.25) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palestino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 2.
- Recent matches Palestino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Universidad de Chile is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Universidad de Chile?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Palestino?
Universidad de Chile has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
15.09.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
1:0
09.09.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
0:1
05.09.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
0:5
21.04.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad de Chile
2:2
22.07.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Palestino
0:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
