Result
4:0
21/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | HBO Max, TV Record |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/409) | 82% (292/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 5.02 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 30 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/409) | 82% (292/356) |
| Long passes |
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| 63% (25/40) | 62% (18/29) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 76% (78/103) | 73% (70/96) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (6/21) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.48 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
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| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 91% (10/11) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 31 |
| Clearances |
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| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.08 | 5.02 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.08 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽,
- 17', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
- 28', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
- 46', Diogo Mateus ↓, Ricardo Cerqueira ↑,
- 52', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 70', Ravanelli ↓, Bastos R. ↑,
- 70', Baianinho ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 78', Allan Elias ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 78', Vitor Roque ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 80', Thiago Moraes ↓, Balao ↑,
- 87', Mauricio ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 87', Lopez J. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Andreas Pereira (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+4', 4 - 0, Sosa R. ⚽, Felipe Anderson (A),
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
81.5% | Draw
12.7% | Capivariano
5.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.Capivariano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Palmeiras - Capivariano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.15 ↓
(1.21) |
7.28 ↑
(5.34) |
16.56 ↑
(13.33) |
6.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Palmeiras is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Capivariano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Capivariano: Leonan Santos
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Arias J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Capivariano?
Palmeiras has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capivariano won against Palmeiras?
Capivariano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Capivariano were as follows:
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Capivariano
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
