Result
1:3
22/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista Women - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | SporTV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Amanda Gutierres ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, Amanda Gutierres ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 2, Duda Freitas ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 3, Brena Carolina ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
29.3% | Draw
27.1% | Palmeiras
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviária's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferroviária - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(2.28) |
3.58 ↑
(3.56) |
2.06 ↓
(2.64) |
5%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1.
- Ferroviária has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Palmeiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Palmeiras?
Ferroviária has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Ferroviária?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Palmeiras were as follows:
14.05.2025
Palmeiras
-
Ferroviária
1:0
26.04.2025
Palmeiras
-
Ferroviária
1:2
09.11.2024
Palmeiras
-
Ferroviária
2:1
02.11.2024
Ferroviária
-
Palmeiras
1:1
23.05.2024
Palmeiras
-
Ferroviária
3:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Paulista Women Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:5 | 21 | 27 |
| 2 | Palmeiras W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Bragantino W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Santos W | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 7 | Taubate W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6:21 | -15 | 6 |
| 8 | Realidade Jovem W | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1:25 | -24 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women
