Palmeiras vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', Kati 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Poliana ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Mariana Santos ,
  • 45+2', Rhayanna 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Raissa Bahia , Landazury G. ,
  • 66', Mariana Santos , Julia Beatriz ,
  • 67', Raquel , Vendito ,
  • 68', Diany Martins , Brena Carolina ,
  • 69', Soll , Taina Maranhao ,
  • 77', Kati , Mylena Carioca ,
  • 83', Andressinha , Espinales J. ,
  • 83', Rhayanna , Guzman A. ,
  • 84', Fatima Dutra , Nenem ,
  • 84', Nicoly , Monique ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
62.6%
Draw
22.4%
Ferroviária
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.6% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 22.3% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Palmeiras - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.55)
    4.04
    (3.84)
    6.01
    (5.06)
    10.6%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
    • Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ferroviária's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Ferroviária were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 0:2
    20.11.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 2:4
    22.09.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 1:3
    14.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ferroviária 1:0
    26.04.2025 Palmeiras - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    23.11.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 0:2
    20.11.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 2:4
    16.11.2025 Palmeiras - Taubaté 5:0
    13.11.2025 Santos - Palmeiras 0:0
    10.11.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 0:0
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Corinthians W (1)Sao Paulo W (4)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Palmeiras W (2)Ferroviaria W (3)1 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Corinthians W (1)Palmeiras W (2)1 : 0, 1 : 5