Palmeiras vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
16/10/2025 at 20:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasil Ladies Cup Women - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBandSports

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Gaetan F. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Fe Palermo ,
  • 18', 2 - 1, Brena Carolina ,
  • 37', Giovanna Campiolo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Andressinha , Lais Melo ,
  • 46', Giovanna Campiolo , Rincon Y. ,
  • 56', Luduena B. , Casas P. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Esquivel L. ,
  • 65', Adorno M. 🟨,
  • 74', Lais Estevam , Guzman A. ,
  • 74', Fe Palermo , Emily Assis ,
  • 85', Espinales J. 🟨,
  • 86', Espinales J. , Ingryd Lima ,
  • 90+6', Gonzalez M. , Oliver M. ,
  • 90+6', Gaetan F. , Curril F. ,
  • 90+6', Lopez S. , Moyano J. ,
  • 90+8', Oszczyk A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Oszczyk A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 6)
  • 1, Olivera S. (Pen),
  • 1, Brena Carolina (Pen),
  • 2, Moyano J. (Pen),
  • 2, Poliana (Pen),
  • 3, Adorno M. (Pen),
  • 3, Taina Maranhao (Pen),
  • 4, Curril F. (Pen),
  • 4, Rhayanna (Pen),
  • 5, Oliver M. (Pen),
  • 5, Amanda Gutierres (Pen),
  • 6, Esquivel L. (Pen),
  • 6, Ingryd Lima (Pen),
  • 7, Aguilera A. (Pen),
  • 7, Emily Assis (Pen),
  • 8, Aste L. (Pen),
  • 8, Guzman A. (Pen),
  • 9, Coronel A. (Pen),
  • 9, Rincon Y. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
79.3%
Draw
13.9%
Gimnasia La Plata
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.2% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 23% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-23%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palmeiras that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Palmeiras - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.69)
    6.63
    (3.75)
    13.5
    (4.08)
    8.7%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Palmeiras has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    28.09.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 0:3
    25.09.2025 Palmeiras - Sport Recife 5:0
    22.09.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 1:3
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Draw
    2025

    Semi-finals
    1Gremio WPenarol W2 : 0
    2Palmeiras WGimnasia L.P. W3 : 2

    Final
    1Gremio WPalmeiras W2 : 4

    3rd place
    2Penarol WGimnasia L.P. W1 : 2