Result
0:5
09/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | beIN Sports |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.28 | 2.03 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Goal Attempts |
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9 | 22 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 11 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 11 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 3 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 24 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Attacks |
---|
93 | 117 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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24 | 35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Marcos Rocha (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 49', Gabriel Menino 🟨,
- 62', Moreno A. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 62', Estevao ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
- 62', Lazaro ↓, Rony ↑,
- 69', Amaro K. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 69', Ocampo M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Endrick (A),
- 82', 0 - 3, Endrick ⚽, Rony (A),
- 85', Endrick 🟨,
- 85', Endrick ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 85', Raphael Veiga ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 86', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 86', Lemos L. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 90', Barrios M. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 4, Rony ⚽, Flaco Lopez (A),
- 90+6', 0 - 5, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
Chances of winning
Liverpool Montevideo 14.5% | Draw 24.2% | Palmeiras 61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.49 ↑ (5.84) |
3.92 ↓ (4.01) |
1.53 ↓ (1.54) |
6.1% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 74.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Liverpool is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palmeiras is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Palmeiras?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras were as follows:
11.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Liverpool Montevideo
3:1
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Latest results of Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)