Result
1:0
14/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 2
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TNT Sports, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chances of winning
Palmeiras 51.6% | Draw 26.2% | Santos 22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Palmeiras - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.77) |
3.52 ↑ (3.42) |
4.14 ↓ (4.29) |
8.5% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Santos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Palmeiras (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Palmeiras (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Palmeiras (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
- Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Santos?
Palmeiras has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Palmeiras?
Santos has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Santos were as follows:
15.11.2025
Santos
-
Palmeiras
1:0
06.11.2025
Palmeiras
-
Santos
2:0
22.01.2025
Santos
-
Palmeiras
1:2
07.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Santos
2:0
31.03.2024
Santos
-
Palmeiras
1:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |