Palmeiras vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 2
  • Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TNT Sports, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
51.6%
Draw
26.2%
Santos
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 26.8% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4% 29.1% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Palmeiras - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.77)
    3.52
    (3.42)
    4.14
    (4.29)
    8.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Palmeiras (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Palmeiras (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Palmeiras (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
    • Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Santos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Santos were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Santos - Palmeiras 1:0
    06.11.2025 Palmeiras - Santos 2:0
    22.01.2025 Santos - Palmeiras 1:2
    07.04.2024 Palmeiras - Santos 2:0
    31.03.2024 Santos - Palmeiras 1:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    10.01.2026 Portuguesa - Palmeiras 0:1
    07.12.2025 Ceará - Palmeiras 1:3
    29.11.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:1
    25.11.2025 Grêmio - Palmeiras 3:2
    Latest results of Santos
    07.12.2025 Santos - Cruzeiro 3:0
    03.12.2025 Juventude - Santos 0:3
    28.11.2025 Santos - Sport Recife 3:0
    24.11.2025 Internacional RS - Santos 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Novorizontino (1)Santos (8)2 : 1
    2Portuguesa (4)Corinthians (5)1 : 2
    3Palmeiras (2)Capivariano (7)4 : 0
    4Bragantino (3)Sao Paulo (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Novorizontino (1)Corinthians (5)1 : 0
    2Palmeiras (2)Sao Paulo (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Novorizontino (1)Palmeiras (2)