Result
1:0
15/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/439) | 83% (304/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/439) | 83% (304/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (114/156) | 59% (39/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 28', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bruno Rodrigues ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 56', Guilherme ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 56', Barreal A. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 61', Arao W. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 80', Khellven ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 85', Mauricio ↓, Larson ↑,
- 88', Souza ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
- 88', Ze Rafael ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Rollheiser B. ⚽, Robson Junior (A),
Chances of winning
Santos
31.8% | Draw
29.5% | Palmeiras
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Santos - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.54) |
3.22 ↑
(3.12) |
2.44 ↑
(2.22) |
4.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 63.7% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
- Palmeiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Igor Vinicius
(Injury)
Joao Pedro Chermont
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Schmidt
(Yellow Cards)
Rollheiser B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Palmeiras?
Santos has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Santos?
Palmeiras has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Palmeiras were as follows:
06.11.2025
Palmeiras
-
Santos
2:0
22.01.2025
Santos
-
Palmeiras
1:2
07.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Santos
2:0
31.03.2024
Santos
-
Palmeiras
1:0
28.01.2024
Palmeiras
-
Santos
2:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
