Kagera Sugar vs Pamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Momanyi M. , Kunambi K. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Shaphan S. , Datius P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', 2 - 1, Lwasa P. , Nolo H. (A),

Chances of winning


Kagera Sugar
39.7%
Draw
31.9%
Pamba
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 33.1% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 37.3% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pamba's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagera Sugar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pamba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kagera Sugar - Pamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2)
    2.85
    (2.7)
    3.2
    (4)
    10.2%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).
    • Kagera Sugar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Pamba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kagera Sugar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kagera Sugar will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kagera Sugar - Pamba were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Pamba - Kagera Sugar 1:1
    Latest results of Kagera Sugar
    Latest results of Pamba
    28.02.2025 Pamba - Young Africans 0:3
    19.02.2025 Mashujaa - Pamba 2:0
    15.02.2025 Pamba - Coastal Union 2:0
    09.02.2025 Pamba - Azam 1:0
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans1192027:22529
    2JKT Tanzania1777318:15328
    3Simba1173118:41424
    4Pamba1566318:13524
    5Azam1165018:41423
    6Namungo1656514:15-121
    7Dodoma Jiji1656514:15-121
    8Mtibwa Sugar1656513:17-421
    9Singida Black Stars1154211:8319
    10Mashujaa154568:15-717
    11TRA United1344515:15016
    12Coastal Union1636712:18-615
    13Mbeya City1434712:17-513
    14Tanzania Prisons143388:16-812
    15Fountain Gate143386:18-1212
    16Kinondoni MC1622125:25-208

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
          Relegation