Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Panadería Pulido
38.9% | Draw
31.1% | Mensajero
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panadería Pulido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panadería Pulido's form might have worsened.Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panadería Pulido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mensajero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panadería Pulido - Mensajero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(1.94) |
2.93 ↓
(3.3) |
3.04 ↓
(3.53) |
9.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panadería won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Panadería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Panadería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Panadería won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panadería won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panadería Pulido won against Mensajero?
Panadería Pulido has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mensajero won against Panadería Pulido?
Mensajero has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panadería Pulido - Mensajero were as follows:
12.10.2025
Mensajero
-
Panadería Pulido
2:0
09.03.2025
Mensajero
-
Panadería Pulido
2:3
26.10.2024
Panadería Pulido
-
Mensajero
2:0
02.04.2023
Mensajero
-
Panadería Pulido
3:0
03.12.2022
Panadería Pulido
-
Mensajero
2:1
Latest results of Panadería Pulido
Latest results of Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 36:14 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Tenerife C | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 44:26 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Panaderia | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:20 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | San Fernando | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 31:18 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Mensajero | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Lanzarote | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | Las Palmas C | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 44:35 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 34 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 32 |
| 12 | Yaiza | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 | Arucas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22:32 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Herbania | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | San Bartolome | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
| 17 | Telde | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:51 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 20:51 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
