Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Panadería Pulido
38.9% | Draw
31.1% | Mensajero
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panadería Pulido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panadería Pulido's form might have worsened.Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panadería Pulido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mensajero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panadería Pulido - Mensajero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(1.94) |
2.93 ↓
(3.3) |
3.04 ↓
(3.53) |
9.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panadería won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Panadería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Panadería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Panadería won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panadería won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panadería Pulido won against Mensajero?
Panadería Pulido has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mensajero won against Panadería Pulido?
Mensajero has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panadería Pulido - Mensajero were as follows:
12.10.2025
Mensajero
-
Panadería Pulido
2:0
09.03.2025
Mensajero
-
Panadería Pulido
2:3
26.10.2024
Panadería Pulido
-
Mensajero
2:0
02.04.2023
Mensajero
-
Panadería Pulido
3:0
03.12.2022
Panadería Pulido
-
Mensajero
2:1
Latest results of Panadería Pulido
Latest results of Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 33 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 50:18 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 60 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 51:35 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Las Palmas C | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Panaderia | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 47:33 | 14 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 45:36 | 9 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 39:35 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 39 |
| 12 | Yaiza | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | San Miguel | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:43 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 29:55 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Herbania | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 38:57 | -19 | 31 |
| 16 | Arucas | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31:63 | -32 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 30:68 | -38 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
