Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 5
- Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 6, SuperSport 7 |
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/378) | 70% (193/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/378) | 70% (193/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/57) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Jedvaj T. ↓, Palmer-Brown E. ↑,
- 42', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Lamela E. ⚽, Koita A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Mantalos P. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Ounahi A. ⚽, Maksimovic N. (A),
- 54', Swiderski K. 🟨,
- 54', Rota L. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Swiderski K. (Pen),
- 62', Koita A. ↓, Tsiloulis S. ↑,
- 62', Pineda O. ↓, Fernandes P. ↑,
- 67', Palmer-Brown E. 🟨,
- 72', Lamela E. 🟨,
- 74', Pierrot F. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 74', Jonsson J. ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
- 77', Swiderski K. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 77', Ounahi A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 79', Pellistri F. 🟨,
- 79', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 81', Lamela E. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
- 90+2', Pellistri F. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
- 90+2', Tete ↓, Bakasetas A. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
49% | Draw
26.8% | Panathinaikos
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Athens - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.2) |
3.52 ↑
(3.28) |
3.87 ↑
(3.19) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
AEK Athens will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.
- Recent form of AEK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- AEK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AEK: Angelopoulos A.
(Inactive)
Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Martial A.
(Red Card)
Moukoudi H.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A.
(Muscle Injury)
Fikaj E.
(Inactive)
Kotsiras G.
(Ankle Injury)
Nikas G.
(Inactive)
Schenkeveld B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AEK: Ljubicic R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Panathinaikos?
AEK Athens has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against AEK Athens?
Panathinaikos has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Panathinaikos were as follows:
06.04.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
3:1
19.01.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
1:0
29.09.2024
AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
2:0
24.04.2024
AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
3:0
03.04.2024
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
2:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Panserraikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | OFI Crete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | AEK Athens FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Aris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | AEL Larissa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PAOK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Levadiakos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Kifisia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Volos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
