Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 5
- Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Albania | SuperSport 6, SuperSport 7 |
Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Mexico | Claro Sports |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
76% (287/378) | 70% (193/277) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.00 | 2.29 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
76% (287/378) | 70% (193/277) |
Long passes |
---|
28% (16/57) | 32% (18/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (88/131) | 67% (71/106) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (4/21) | 20% (1/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.05 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (16/23) | 77% (17/22) |
Duels won |
---|
76 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.29 | 1.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.17 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Jedvaj T. ↓, Palmer-Brown E. ↑,
- 42', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Lamela E. ⚽, Koita A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Mantalos P. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Ounahi A. ⚽, Maksimovic N. (A),
- 54', Swiderski K. 🟨,
- 54', Rota L. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Swiderski K. (Pen),
- 62', Koita A. ↓, Tsiloulis S. ↑,
- 62', Pineda O. ↓, Fernandes P. ↑,
- 67', Palmer-Brown E. 🟨,
- 72', Lamela E. 🟨,
- 74', Pierrot F. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 74', Jonsson J. ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
- 77', Swiderski K. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 77', Ounahi A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 79', Pellistri F. 🟨,
- 79', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 81', Lamela E. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
- 90+2', Pellistri F. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
- 90+2', Tete ↓, Bakasetas A. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens 49% | Draw 26.8% | Panathinaikos 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Athens - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (2.2) |
3.52 ↑ (3.28) |
3.87 ↑ (3.19) |
6.3% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
AEK Athens will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.
- Recent form of AEK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- AEK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AEK: Angelopoulos A.
(Inactive)
Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Martial A.
(Red Card)
Moukoudi H.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A.
(Muscle Injury)
Fikaj E.
(Inactive)
Kotsiras G.
(Ankle Injury)
Nikas G.
(Inactive)
Schenkeveld B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AEK: Ljubicic R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Panathinaikos?
AEK Athens has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against AEK Athens?
Panathinaikos has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Panathinaikos were as follows:
06.04.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
3:1
19.01.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
1:0
29.09.2024
AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
2:0
24.04.2024
AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
3:0
03.04.2024
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
2:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Panserraikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | OFI Crete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AEK Athens FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Aris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | AEL Larissa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PAOK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Levadiakos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Atromitos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Panetolikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Kifisia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Volos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )