Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Greek Super League
Result
2:3
30/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 12
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
australiaAustraliaANT1 Pacific
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
usaUsaANT1 Satellite

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.12
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (360/437)81% (371/457)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.712.57
Total shots
147
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2218
Passes
82% (360/437)81% (371/457)
Long passes
57% (26/46)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
68% (76/111)58% (63/109)
Crosses
26% (6/23)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.86
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1822
Tackles
81% (13/16)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5657
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
2.571.71
Goals prevented
-0.43-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
  • 26', Mantalos P. 🟨,
  • 28', Swiderski K. (Pen),
  • 29', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
  • 40', Calabria D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Touba A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Jovic L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
  • 46', Mantalos P. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
  • 50', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 54', Palmer-Brown E. 🟨,
  • 62', Kaloskamis D. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
  • 62', Calabria D. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
  • 63', Bakasetas A. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
  • 63', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
  • 64', Touba A. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Tete ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
  • 76', Siopis M. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
  • 78', Penrice J. 🟨,
  • 81', Joao Mario ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
  • 85', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 86', Chirivella P. ↓, Dessers C. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Djuricic F. ⚽, Pantovic M. (A),
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Jovic L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Gacinovic M. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Panathinaikos
35.4%		Draw
31.1%		AEK Athens
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 29.9% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 29.2% 28.5%

Panathinaikos - AEK Athens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.65 ↑
(2.31)		 3.04 ↓
(3.15)		 2.82 ↓
(3.23)		 6.1%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 47.8% – 85.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.
    • Panathinaikos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AEK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C. (Injury) Jeremejeff A. (Illness) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Eliasson N. (Injury) Kutesa D. (Inactive) Pierrot F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A. (Injury) Lafont A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AEK: Zini (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - AEK Athens were as follows:
    04.05.2025 AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 1:2
    06.04.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 3:1
    19.01.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 1:0
    29.09.2024 AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 2:0
    24.04.2024 AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 3:0
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    27.11.2025 Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Panserraikos - Panathinaikos 0:3 ✺
    09.11.2025 Panathinaikos - PAOK 2:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Malmö - Panathinaikos 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Volos - Panathinaikos 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 AEK Athens - Aris 1:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 OFI - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 AEK Athens - Shamrock Rovers 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 AEK Athens - Panetolikos 1:0 ✺
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus14112130:72335
    2AEK Athens14111224:101434
    3PAOK14102229:121732
    4Levadiakos1474334:171725
    5Panathinaikos1364321:15622
    6Volos1471617:18-122
    7Aris1445512:16-417
    8Kifisia1445521:22-117
    9Panetolikos1443714:23-915
    10Asteras Tripolis1427515:18-313
    11Atromitos1433814:20-612
    12OFI Crete1340914:25-1112
    13AEL Larissa1415813:27-148
    14Panserraikos1412117:35-285

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

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