Result
4:0
18/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/402) | 82% (353/428) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/402) | 82% (353/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (57/80) | 73% (93/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽, Ljubicic R. (A),
- 45+2', Jedvaj T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Zaroury A. ↓, Pantelidis P. ↑,
- 56', Ljubicic R. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 56', Varga B. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
- 59', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
- 65', 3 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽,
- 66', Jedvaj T. ↓, Palmer-Brown E. ↑,
- 66', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
- 75', Gacinovic M. ↓, Zini ↑,
- 78', 4 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
- 80', Kotsiras G. ↓, Kyriakopoulos G. ↑,
- 81', Pellistri F. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
- 84', Rota L. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
- 84', Jovic L. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
50.2% | Draw
28% | Panathinaikos
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1%)
AEK Athens - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.85) |
3.31 ↓
(3.32) |
4.26 ↑
(4.21) |
7.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Panathinaikos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AEK Athens will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- AEK might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Pereyra R.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C.
(Thigh Injury)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Djuricic F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Panathinaikos?
AEK Athens has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against AEK Athens?
Panathinaikos has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Panathinaikos were as follows:
30.11.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
2:3
04.05.2025
AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
1:2
06.04.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
3:1
19.01.2025
Panathinaikos
-
AEK Athens
1:0
29.09.2024
AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
2:0
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:15 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 46:17 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos ✔ | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Levadiakos ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Volos | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa ✔ | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 22 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21:39 | -18 | 17 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
