Ajax vs Panathinaikos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1 penalties
15/08/2024 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
russiaRussiaOkko Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
84
Shots off Goal
96
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
30
Goalkeeper Saves
38
Fouls
1416
Yellow Cards
26
Attacks
160120
Dangerous Attacks
9443

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Akpom Ch. 🟨,
  • 60', Akpom Ch. , Traore B. ,
  • 61', Forbs C. , Godts M. ,
  • 68', Kotsiras G. , Vagiannidis G. ,
  • 68', Djuricic F. , Tete ,
  • 71', Berghuis S. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 71', Fitz-Jim K. , van den Boomen B. ,
  • 75', Ioannidis F. 🟨,
  • 75', Ioannidis F. , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 78', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 82', Arao W. , Maksimovic N. ,
  • 82', Gnezda Cerin A. , Vilhena T. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Tete ,
  • 90+4', Jeremejeff A. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 97', Bakasetas A. , Zeca ,
  • 99', Hato J. , Brobbey B. ,
  • 105', Tete 🟨,
  • 105', Mancini D. 🟨,
  • 105', Henderson J. 🟨,
  • 110', Rensch D. , Bergwijn S. ,
  • Penalties (13 - 12)
  • 1, Mancini D. (Pen),
  • 1, Bergwijn S. (Pen),
  • 2, Jeremejeff A. (Pen),
  • 2, van den Boomen B. (Pen),
  • 3, Tete (Pen),
  • 3, Godts M. (Pen),
  • 4, Jedvaj T. (Pen),
  • 4, Taylor K. (Pen),
  • 5, Mladenovic F. (Pen),
  • 5, Brobbey B. (Pen),
  • 6, Vilhena T. (Pen),
  • 6, Henderson J. (Pen),
  • 7, Maksimovic N. (Pen),
  • 7, Traore B. (Pen),
  • 8, Ingason S. I. (Pen),
  • 8, Baas Y. (Pen),
  • 9, Vagiannidis G. (Pen),
  • 9, Gaaei A. (Pen),
  • 10, Zeca (Pen),
  • 10, Sutalo J. (Pen),
  • 11, Dragowski B. (Pen),
  • 11, Pasveer R. (Pen),
  • 12, Mancini D. (Pen),
  • 12, Bergwijn S. (Pen),
  • 13, Jeremejeff A. (Pen),
  • 13, van den Boomen B. (Pen),
  • 14, Tete (Pen),
  • 14, Godts M. (Pen),
  • 15, Jedvaj T. (Pen),
  • 15, Taylor K. (Pen),
  • 16, Mladenovic F. (Pen),
  • 16, Brobbey B. (Pen),
  • 17, Vilhena T. (Pen),
  • 17, Gaaei A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ajax
60.1%
Draw
21.7%
Panathinaikos
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 25.5% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 24.6% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Ajax - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.78)
    4.33
    (3.69)
    5.22
    (4.32)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ajax - Panathinaikos?
  • Users Predictions: Ajax will win (61 of 70 users predict this - 87.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.3%94.98%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Ajax in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Panathinaikos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Panathinaikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Panathinaikos have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ajax is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Ajax to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Panathinaikos - Ajax 0:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    11.08.2024 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:0
    08.08.2024 Panathinaikos - Ajax 0:1
    01.08.2024 Vojvodina - Ajax 1:3
    25.07.2024 Ajax - Vojvodina 1:0
    19.07.2024 Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus 1:0
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2