Result
3:1
01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Bognar T. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (268/326) | 86% (396/461) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (268/326) | 86% (396/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 72% (70/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽, Pantelidis P. (A),
- 24', Mendyl H. 🟨,
- 31', Pantelidis P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Donis A. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 46', Mendyl H. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
- 56', Pantelidis P. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
- 57', Andino S. ↓, Taborda V. ↑,
- 61', Fadiga N. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Taborda V. ⚽, Djuricic F. (A),
- 72', 2 - 1, Racic U. ⚽, Perez C. (A),
- 79', Tejero A. 🟨,
- 79', Swiderski K. ↓, Tetteh A. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Tetteh A. ⚽,
- 83', Kadewere T. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 84', Kontouris S. 🟨,
- 85', Alfarela M. 🟨,
- 88', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Bakasetas A. ↑,
- 89', Kontouris S. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Panathinaikos
52.1% | Draw
28.9% | Aris
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Aris aligns with the current prediction.
Panathinaikos - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.69) |
3.25 ↓
(3.33) |
4.96 ↓
(5.38) |
6.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Aris?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Aris will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P.
(Calf Injury)
Dessers C.
(Thigh Injury)
Kotsiras G.
(Injury)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Palmer-Brown E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aris: Galanopoulos K.
(Inactive)
Misehouy G.
(Inactive)
Moron L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Aris?
Panathinaikos has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Panathinaikos?
Aris has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - Aris were as follows:
14.01.2026
Panathinaikos
-
Aris
3:0
19.10.2025
Aris
-
Panathinaikos
1:1
09.02.2025
Aris
-
Panathinaikos
2:0
27.10.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Aris
1:1
25.05.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Aris
1:0
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | PAOK | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
| 7 | Volos | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Aris | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
