Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/389) | 86% (371/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/389) | 86% (371/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 78% (93/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Swiderski K. ⚽, Calabria D. (A),
- 22', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
- 26', Tete 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alfarela M. ↓, Donis A. ↑,
- 46', Kadewere T. ↓, Moron L. ↑,
- 46', Fabiano ↓, Sonko Sundberg N. ↑,
- 68', Sisto P. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 70', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,
- 71', Swiderski K. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Donis A. ⚽, Gianniotas G. (A),
- 79', Fadiga N. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
- 82', Chirivella P. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 82', Zaroury A. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
- 90', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 90+7', Moron L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris
23.7% | Draw
34.6% | Panathinaikos
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Aris - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↑
(3.26) |
2.85 ↓
(3.04) |
2.54 ↑
(2.34) |
-2.5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aris - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Panathinaikos could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Knock)
Jensen F.
(Inactive)
Mendyl H.
(Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Racic U.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C.
(Injury)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Pellistri F.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Panathinaikos?
Aris has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Aris?
Panathinaikos has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - Panathinaikos were as follows:
09.02.2025
Aris
-
Panathinaikos
2:0
27.10.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Aris
1:1
25.05.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Aris
1:0
28.04.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Aris
0:1
07.04.2024
Aris
-
Panathinaikos
0:2
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
