Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Sportklub |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (300/399) | 81% (353/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (300/399) | 81% (353/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/108) | 71% (107/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Strefezza G. 🟨,
- 35', Cabella R. 🟨,
- 39', Dessers C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Dessers C. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
- 53', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
- 57', Nascimento D. ↓, Podence D. ↑,
- 67', Scipioni L. 🟨,
- 68', Scipioni L. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
- 68', Strefezza G. ↓, Yazici Y. ↑,
- 70', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
- 71', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 75', Dessers C. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
- 75', Bakasetas A. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
- 80', Mouzakitis C. ↓, Hezze S. ↑,
- 80', Cabella R. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
- 84', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,
- 87', Chirivella P. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Taremi M. (A),
- 90+2', El Kaabi A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kotsiras G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panathinaikos
28.9% | Draw
30.1% | Olympiacos Piraeus
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panathinaikos's form might have worsened.Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panathinaikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(2.59) |
3.12 ↓
(3.23) |
2.32 ↓
(2.7) |
6.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.4% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 0.
- Recent performances by Panathinaikos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olympiacos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Olympiacos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Pellistri F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Olympiacos: Martins G.
(Knee Injury)
Yaremchuk R.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Olympiacos: Angelakis K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Olympiacos Piraeus?
Panathinaikos has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against Panathinaikos?
Olympiacos Piraeus has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
11.05.2025
Panathinaikos
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1
30.03.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
Panathinaikos
4:2
05.02.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
Panathinaikos
1:0
26.01.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
Panathinaikos
1:1
15.01.2025
Panathinaikos
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | PAOK | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Aris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Volos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Levadiakos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Panserraikos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
