Samsunspor vs Panathinaikos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
turkeyTurkeyHT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.97
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
81% (337/417)76% (257/339)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.23
Total shots
136
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (337/417)76% (257/339)
Long passes
57% (38/67)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
67% (88/131)59% (63/107)
Crosses
24% (7/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.30
Throw-ins
3117
Fouls
1611
Tackles
71% (15/21)79% (15/19)
Duels won
6349
Clearances
826
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.230.83
Goals prevented
0.230.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Gnezda Cerin A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Yuksel C. , Holse C. ,
  • 60', Kilinc E. , Dimata L. ,
  • 63', Djuricic F. , Pellistri F. ,
  • 71', Bakasetas A. , Siopis M. ,
  • 71', Ioannidis F. , Swiderski K. ,
  • 78', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 78', Marius , Yaldir P. ,
  • 82', Touba A. 🟨,
  • 85', Makoumbou A. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 89', Tete , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 90+4', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Tomasson L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
36.1%
Draw
28.4%
Panathinaikos
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29.6% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 29.2% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Samsunspor - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.43)
    3.27
    (3.02)
    2.63
    (2.65)
    7.3%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Panathinaikos?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 35.9%78.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Panathinaikos (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Panathinaikos (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    21.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Samsunspor 2:1
    16.08.2025 Kocaelispor - Samsunspor 0:1
    01.08.2025 Samsunspor - Dunkerque 1:0
    19.07.2025 Westerlo - Samsunspor 3:1
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2