Result
0:1 penalties
14/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (530/591) | 87% (495/571) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (530/591) | 87% (495/571) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (123/156) | 73% (102/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Bondar V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
- 52', Gnezda Cerin A. 🟨,
- 76', Swiderski K. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 76', Tete ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 82', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
- 82', Turan A. 🟥,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 92', Kotsiras G. 🟨,
- 97', Chirivella P. 🟨,
- 101', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
- 101', Pellistri F. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
- 101', Kotsiras G. ↓, Jedvaj T. ↑,
- 105+1', Siopis M. 🟨,
- 109', Alisson ↓, Shved M. ↑,
- 111', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
- 113', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 120+2', Touba A. 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Nazaryna Y. (Pen),
- 1, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
- 2, Tobias V. (Pen),
- 2, Jeremejeff A. (Pen),
- 3, Bondarenko A. (Pen),
- 3, Siopis M. (Pen),
- 4, Newerton (Pen),
- 4, Zaroury A. (Pen),
- 5, Kaua Elias (Pen),
- 5, Touba A. (Pen),
- 6, Henrique P. (Pen),
- 6, Mancini D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Shakhtar Donetsk
55.1% | Draw
25.4% | Panathinaikos
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.62) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
4.79 ↓
(5) |
6.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Panathinaikos (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Panathinaikos (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Shakhtar Donetsk will win
(60 of 75 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.95% – 89.05%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (41 of 49 users predict this - 83.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 52 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 41 - 78.8%). Panathinaikos (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
- Shakhtar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Panathinaikos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Panathinaikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Shakhtar will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shakhtar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Panathinaikos?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Panathinaikos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos were as follows:
07.08.2025
Panathinaikos
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
0:0
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
