Shakhtar Donetsk vs Panathinaikos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos
Result
0:1 penalties
14/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.72
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (530/591)87% (495/571)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.420.12
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
90% (530/591)87% (495/571)
Long passes
55% (30/55)58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
79% (123/156)73% (102/139)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.36
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1318
Tackles
64% (9/14)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5150
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.120.42
Goals prevented
0.120.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Bondar V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
  • 52', Gnezda Cerin A. 🟨,
  • 76', Swiderski K. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 76', Tete , Zaroury A. ,
  • 82', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
  • 82', Turan A. 🟥,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Gnezda Cerin A. , Siopis M. ,
  • 92', Kotsiras G. 🟨,
  • 97', Chirivella P. 🟨,
  • 101', Marlon Gomes , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 101', Pellistri F. , Mancini D. ,
  • 101', Kotsiras G. , Jedvaj T. ,
  • 105+1', Siopis M. 🟨,
  • 109', Alisson , Shved M. ,
  • 111', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
  • 113', Kyriakopoulos G. , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 120+2', Touba A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Nazaryna Y. (Pen),
  • 1, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
  • 2, Tobias V. (Pen),
  • 2, Jeremejeff A. (Pen),
  • 3, Bondarenko A. (Pen),
  • 3, Siopis M. (Pen),
  • 4, Newerton (Pen),
  • 4, Zaroury A. (Pen),
  • 5, Kaua Elias (Pen),
  • 5, Touba A. (Pen),
  • 6, Henrique P. (Pen),
  • 6, Mancini D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
55.1%
Draw
25.4%
Panathinaikos
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 24.6% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 23.6% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.62)
    3.7
    (3.75)
    4.79
    (5)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
  • Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (60 of 75 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.95%89.05%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (18 of 24 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
    • Shakhtar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Panathinaikos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Panathinaikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Shakhtar will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shakhtar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Panathinaikos11004:133
    2D. Zagreb11003:123
    3Midtjylland11002:023
    4AS Roma11002:113
    5Ludogorets11002:113
    6Lille11002:113
    7Freiburg11002:113
    8Stuttgart11002:113
    9Genk11001:013
    10Lyon11001:013
    11FC Porto11001:013
    12FCSB11001:013
    13Aston Villa11001:013
    14Braga11001:013
    15Nottingham10102:201
    16Betis10102:201
    17Plzen10101:101
    18Celtic10101:101
    19Crvena zvezda10101:101
    20Ferencvaros10101:101
    21PAOK10100:001
    22Maccabi Tel Aviv10100:001
    23Celta Vigo10011:2-10
    24Brann10011:2-10
    25Basel10011:2-10
    26Nice10011:2-10
    27Malmo FF10011:2-10
    28Bologna10010:1-10
    29Salzburg10010:1-10
    30Feyenoord10010:1-10
    31Utrecht10010:1-10
    32Rangers10010:1-10
    33G.A. Eagles10010:1-10
    34Fenerbahce10011:3-20
    35Sturm Graz10010:2-20
    36Young Boys10011:4-30

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