Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 19
- Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (160/254) | 87% (415/477) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 2 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (160/254) | 87% (415/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (15/67) | 62% (29/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 82% (141/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Hoxha D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nikolaou E. ↓, Kojic L. ↑,
- 46', Misehouy G. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 61', Perez C. ↓, Donis A. ↑,
- 61', Jensen F. ↓, Boussaid O. ↑,
- 64', Fadiga N. 🟨,
- 74', Matan A. ↓, Michalak K. ↑,
- 74', Fadiga N. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Fabiano ⚽, Dudu (A),
- 83', Mladen S. ↓, Apostolopoulos A. ↑,
- 84', Boussaid O. 🟨,
- 90', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
- 90+1', Smyrlis L. ↓, Bregou A. ↑,
- 90+2', Manrique C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos
18.4% | Draw
27.6% | Aris
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panetolikos's form might have worsened.Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panetolikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panetolikos - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.06 ↑
(3.15) |
3.4 ↑
(3.12) |
1.76 ↓
(2.3) |
6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - Aris?
Users Predictions:
Aris will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aris will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 2.
- Panetolikos is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aris might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Aguirre J.
(Ankle Injury)
Chura J.
(Inactive)
Esteban Diego
(Yellow Cards)
Garcia U.
(Inactive)
Pardalos M.
(Inactive)
Satsias G.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Foot Injury)
Jensen F.
(Illness)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
Rose L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against Aris?
Panetolikos has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Panetolikos?
Aris has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - Aris were as follows:
06.01.2026
Aris
-
Panetolikos
2:0
17.09.2025
Panetolikos
-
Aris
0:1
30.08.2025
Aris
-
Panetolikos
0:2
23.02.2025
Aris
-
Panetolikos
2:1
09.11.2024
Panetolikos
-
Aris
2:1
Latest results of Panetolikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
