Panevėžys 2 vs Minija Kretinga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga
Result
1:4
26/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaFutbols TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Diawara M. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Kasparavicius J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 3, Cisse M. ,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 4, ,
  • 87', 1 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Panevėžys 2
21%
Draw
23.4%
Minija Kretinga
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 24.9% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 25% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys 2's form might have worsened.
  • Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minija Kretinga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panevėžys 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minija Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.45
    (3.4)
    4
    (3.65)
    1.68
    (1.88)
    7.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga?
  • Users Predictions: Minija Kretinga will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 0.
    • Panevėžys 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Minija has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minija could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2 2:0
    08.11.2024 Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2 1:1
    21.06.2024 Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga 1:3
    07.10.2023 Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2 4:1
    22.05.2023 Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga 1:2
    Latest results of Panevėžys 2
    Latest results of Minija Kretinga
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest25221271:195267
    2Tauras Taurage25166350:183254
    3Neptunas25164554:243052
    4BFA Vilnius25146538:241448
    5Babrungas25137547:321546
    6Jonava25107823:19437
    7Zalgiris 225107844:41337
    8Atmosfera251141041:311037
    9FK Minija251031226:35-933
    10Kauno Zalgiris 225831438:43-527
    11Hegelmann Litauen 225761231:42-1127
    12Ekranas25721631:50-1923
    13Nevezis Kedainiai25641525:45-2022
    14FK Panevezys 225621725:63-3820
    15BE1 NFA25461520:47-2718
    16Siauliai 225521831:62-3117

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          I Lyga (Relegation)
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