Result
0:0
14/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Zampalas S. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/316) | 82% (371/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/316) | 82% (371/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 62% (72/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Omeonga S. 🟨,
- 42', Mendyl H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Tejero A. 🟥,
- 62', Boussaid O. ↓, Donis A. ↑,
- 63', Dudu ↓, Fadiga N. ↑,
- 64', Kalinin I. ↓, Gelashvili I. ↑,
- 77', Alfarela M. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 77', Moron L. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 78', Omeonga S. ↓, Sofianos M. ↑,
- 89', Mendyl H. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ivan A. ↓, Maskanakis A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Panserraikos 20.1% | Draw 28.8% | Aris 51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panserraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Panserraikos - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.65 ↓ (5.37) |
3.27 ↓ (3.33) |
1.84 ↑ (1.68) |
6.3% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Panserraikos - Aris?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Panserraikos will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Aris will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Panserraikos (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Panserraikos (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Panserraikos (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aris will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Panserraikos (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Aris (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Aris is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panserraikos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against Aris?
Panserraikos has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Panserraikos?
Aris has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panserraikos - Aris were as follows:
27.09.2025
Aris
-
Panserraikos
1:1
15.12.2024
Aris
-
Panserraikos
1:0
24.08.2024
Panserraikos
-
Aris
0:1
03.02.2024
Panserraikos
-
Aris
1:1
21.10.2023
Aris
-
Panserraikos
1:0
Latest results of Panserraikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | PAOK | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
| 7 | Volos | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Aris | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )