Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 5
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/549) | 64% (130/204) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/549) | 64% (130/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (28/41) | 30% (14/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (137/178) | 55% (32/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/39) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 70 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', De Marco V. 🟨,
- 25', Nunnely C. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Monchu ⚽, Tejero A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Moron L. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Ivan A. ⚽, Green A. (A),
- 62', Nunnely C. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
- 63', Rumyantsev V. 🟨,
- 63', Rumyantsev V. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
- 64', Morutan O. ↓, Misehouy G. ↑,
- 64', Dudu ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 75', Gelashvili I. ↓, Karasalidis A. ↑,
- 82', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Kalinin I. ↑,
- 83', Tsaousis M. ↓, Doiranlis G. ↑,
- 84', Galanopoulos K. ↓, Panagidis M. ↑,
- 90', Gianniotas G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lyratzis L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris
70.4% | Draw
18.7% | Panserraikos
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Aris - Panserraikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.41) |
5.01 ↑
(4.63) |
8.62 ↑
(7.2) |
5.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aris - Panserraikos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Panserraikos will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 4.
- Aris is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Panserraikos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Panserraikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aris is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Panserraikos: Armougom Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Galvan B. A.
(Injury)
Leo J.
(Inactive)
Wague M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aris: Jensen F.
(Inactive)
Majkic L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Aris will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aris won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 1.6:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Panserraikos?
Aris has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against Aris?
Panserraikos has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - Panserraikos were as follows:
15.12.2024
Aris
-
Panserraikos
1:0
24.08.2024
Panserraikos
-
Aris
0:1
03.02.2024
Panserraikos
-
Aris
1:1
21.10.2023
Aris
-
Panserraikos
1:0
Latest results of Panserraikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | PAOK | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Aris | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Kifisia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Volos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | AEL Larissa | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
