Athens Kallithea vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GREECE: Super League - Round 26
  • Referee: Katoikos K. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
italyItalyComo TV
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.481.70
Ball Possession
29%71%
Goal Attempts
1612
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
57
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
714
Offsides
01
Fouls
147
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2524
Touches in the Opposition Box
2519
Passes
68% (156/229)87% (485/560)
Passes in the final third
60% (55/91)72% (109/151)
Crosses
17% (2/12)37% (10/27)
Tackles
83% (10/12)69% (11/16)
Clearances Total
3324
Interceptions
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Despodov K. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Alfarela M. , Mejias J. (A),
  • 22', Vrakas G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Demethryus (Pen),
  • 45+5', Mellado M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Meite S. , Schwab S. ,
  • 58', Pelkas D. , Pena S. ,
  • 58', Thomas B. , Chalov F. ,
  • 66', Mercati A. , Valbuena M. ,
  • 66', Vrakas G. , Lebon K. ,
  • 74', Despodov K. , Shoretire S. ,
  • 81', Mellado M. , Matilla J. ,
  • 81', Alfarela M. , Loukinas G. ,
  • 81', Sastre J. , Vieirinha ,
  • 88', Demethryus , Soiri P. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Loukinas G. , Ndiaye M. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athens Kallithea
14.6%
Draw
21.9%
PAOK
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 19.4% 70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 17.8% 64.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Athens Kallithea - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.37
    (9.13)
    4.33
    (4.85)
    1.48
    (1.34)
    6.3%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Athens Kallithea - PAOK?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). PAOK will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • Athens Kallithea is Super League (Relegation Group )
    • PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    • Athens Kallithea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches PAOK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match PAOK is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Giani E. (Injury) Pasalidis T. (Red Card) Sardelis G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Chalov F. (Injury) Colley O. (Injury) Jonny Otto (Injury) Konstantelias G. (Yellow Cards) Kotarski D. (Injury) Lovren D. (Injury) Ozdoev M. (Yellow Cards) Schwab S. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Athens Kallithea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athens Kallithea - PAOK were as follows:
    01.12.2024 PAOK - Athens Kallithea 2:2
    Latest results of Athens Kallithea
    Latest results of PAOK
    02.03.2025 PAOK - Asteras Tripolis 2:0
    23.02.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK 2:1
    20.02.2025 FCSB - PAOK 2:0
    16.02.2025 PAOK - Lamia 7:0
    13.02.2025 PAOK - FCSB 1:2
    Greek Super League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AEK Athens26186249:173260
    2Olympiacos Piraeus26177245:113458
    3PAOK26176352:173557
    4Panathinaikos26147544:261849
    5Levadiakos26126851:371442
    6OFI Crete261021434:45-1132
    7Volos26941326:38-1231
    8Aris26612820:27-730
    9Atromitos26781126:30-429
    10Kifisia26691132:42-1027
    11Panetolikos26751424:38-1426
    12AEL Larissa264111122:39-1723
    13Panserraikos26451716:55-3917
    14Asteras Tripolis26381522:41-1917

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