Result
0:3
10/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/288) | 87% (478/552) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 59 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/288) | 87% (478/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 76% (129/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
- 40', Manrique C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 3, Konstantelias G. ⚽,
- 60', Esteban Diego 🟨,
- 66', Garcia U. ↓, Michalak K. ↑,
- 66', Esteban Diego ↓, Bregou A. ↑,
- 71', Zafeiris C. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
- 72', Meite S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 72', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 72', Satsias G. 🟨,
- 77', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
- 77', Konstantelias G. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 81', Mavrias Ch. ↓, Granath G. ↑,
- 81', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
- 87', Satsias G. ↓, Nikolaou E. ↑,
- 88', Nkololo B. ↓, Agapakis G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos
10.7% | Draw
19.1% | PAOK
70.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Panetolikos - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.76 ↑
(8.5) |
4.83 ↑
(4.38) |
1.34 ↓
(1.38) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - PAOK?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). PAOK will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - PAOK (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 0.
- Panetolikos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Panetolikos has had a series of away games.
- In this match, PAOK is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Galiatsos D.
(Knee Injury)
Luis M.
(Knee Injury)
Mladen S.
(Injury)
Stajic N.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in PAOK: Lovren D.
(Injury)
Pelkas D.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in PAOK: Pavlenka J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 19 matches, and goals 8:41. (average 0.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against PAOK?
Panetolikos has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Panetolikos?
PAOK has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - PAOK were as follows:
20.09.2025
PAOK
-
Panetolikos
0:0
15.12.2024
Panetolikos
-
PAOK
0:1
25.08.2024
PAOK
-
Panetolikos
2:0
25.02.2024
Panetolikos
-
PAOK
1:3
12.11.2023
PAOK
-
Panetolikos
2:1
Latest results of Panetolikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 48:15 | 33 | 53 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
