PAOK vs UCAM Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:73
01/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceERT 2

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6074
Field goals made
2827
Field goals %
46.67%36.49%
2-point field goals attempts
3848
2-point field goals made
2221
2-point field goals %
57.89%43.75%
3-point field goals attempts
2226
3-point field goals made
66
3-point field goals %
27.27%23.08%
Free throws attempts
2520
Free throws made
1713
Free throws %
68%65%
Offensive rebounds
413
Defensive rebounds
3632
Total rebounds
4045
Assists
1519
Blocks
42
Turnovers
118
Steals
34
Personal fouls
2123

Chances of winning


PAOK
48.7%
UCAM Murcia
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.
  • UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • PAOK - UCAM Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.7)

    1.82
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • PAOK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Murcia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of PAOK
    28.03.2026 PAOK - Promitheas Patras 100:70
    25.03.2026 PAOK - Mykonos 100:87
    21.03.2026 Peristeri BC - PAOK 75:70
    18.03.2026 Peristeri BC - PAOK 88:80
    14.03.2026 PAOK - Aris Postponed
    Latest results of UCAM Murcia
    28.03.2026 UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket 100:81
    21.03.2026 Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia 86:90
    18.03.2026 UCAM Murcia - Reggiana 77:63
    11.03.2026 Reggiana - UCAM Murcia 84:85
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1PAOKPeristeri80 : 88, 101 : 77
    2ReggianaMurcia63 : 77, 84 : 85
    3SzombathelyKK Bosna70 : 78, 81 : 66
    4Petkim SporBilbao60 : 85, 69 : 77

    Semi-finals
    1PAOKMurcia
    2SzombathelyBilbao81 : 98

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2