Gżira United vs Paola Hibernians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
25/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01
Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Xuereb D. (Own goal),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Andre Carlos ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 3 - 0, Maxuell Samurai ,
  • 48', 3 - 1, Alfred S. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Cleiton ,
  • 89', Kante 🟥,
  • 90+4', Xuereb D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gżira United
38.8%
Draw
27.3%
Paola Hibernians
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 25.9% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 25.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Gżira United - Paola Hibernians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.5)
    3.32
    (3.5)
    2.67
    (2.4)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gżira United - Paola Hibernians?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gżira (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gżira (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Hibernians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gżira has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gżira United - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
    06.01.2026 Paola Hibernians - Gżira United 4:1
    18.08.2025 Paola Hibernians - Gżira United 5:3
    19.04.2025 Paola Hibernians - Gżira United 1:2
    08.02.2025 Gżira United - Paola Hibernians 1:4
    25.08.2024 Paola Hibernians - Gżira United 2:0
    Latest results of Gżira United
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1TarxienBye
    2ByeGhajnsielem
    3PembrokeBye
    4ByeValletta
    5HamrunBye
    6Victoria HotspursXaghra3 : 1
    7FguraBye
    8SirensSanta Lucia1 : 2
    9BirkirkaraBye
    10ByeVictoria Wanderers
    11PietaBye
    12ByeMtarfa
    13FlorianaBye
    14ByeMarsaxlokk
    15ZabbarBye
    16MelitaXewkija0 : 1
    17St. AndrewsVittoriosa3 : 0
    18ByeGzira
    19HiberniansBye
    20ByeGudja
    21ZebbugQala Saints0 : 5
    22ByeMgarr
    23MostaBye
    24ByeMqabba FC
    25ZurrieqBye
    26ByeKercem Ajax
    27QormiBalzan1 : 4
    28NadurBirzebbuga1 : 4
    29SliemaBye
    30ByeSwieqi
    31MarsaBye
    32ByeNaxxar

    1/16-finals
    1TarxienGhajnsielem4 : 0
    2PembrokeValletta0 : 1
    3HamrunVictoria Hotspurs5 : 0
    4FguraSanta Lucia2 : 1
    5BirkirkaraVictoria Wanderers3 : 1
    6PietaMtarfa5 : 0
    7FlorianaMarsaxlokk1 : 0
    8ZabbarXewkija1 : 0
    9St. AndrewsGzira0 : 2
    10HiberniansGudja3 : 1
    11Qala SaintsMgarr0 : 2
    12MostaMqabba FC2 : 1
    13ZurrieqKercem Ajax4 : 0
    14BalzanBirzebbuga1 : 2
    15SliemaSwieqi1 : 2
    16MarsaNaxxar0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1TarxienValletta0 : 1
    2HamrunFgura5 : 0
    3BirkirkaraPieta2 : 0
    4FlorianaZabbar0 : 1
    5GziraHibernians3 : 2
    6MgarrMosta0 : 3
    7ZurrieqBirzebbuga3 : 0
    8SwieqiNaxxar2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1VallettaHamrun
    2BirkirkaraZabbar
    3GziraMosta
    4ZurrieqNaxxar

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2