Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 19
- Referee: Solomou D. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Miramon ⚽,
- 26', Sema K. 🟨,
- 36', Cabrera E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Dimata L. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
- 61', Dragomir V. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 61', Sema K. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
- 72', Cabrera E. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Anderson Silva ⚽,
- 77', Garcia A. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 84', Guessand A. ↓, Mimovic O. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
- 88', Sunjic I. ↓, Odefalk W. ↑,
- 89', Miramon ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paphos
38.1% | Draw
30.3% | AEK Larnaca
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paphos's form might have worsened.AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paphos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Paphos - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.16) |
3.08 ↓
(3.17) |
2.95 ↓
(3.43) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paphos - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - AEK Larnaca (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paphos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Paphos: Correia J.
(Injury)
Pedrao
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Rohden M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Jimmy Suarez
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against AEK Larnaca?
Paphos has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Paphos?
AEK Larnaca has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
30.10.2025
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
1:2
05.10.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
2:4
24.05.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
1:0
18.05.2025
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
2:0
13.04.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
2:2
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55:16 | 39 | 54 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 40:22 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | APOEL | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 39 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 28 |
| 9 | Chloraka | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 26 |
| 10 | Anorthosis ✔ | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 17:32 | -15 | 25 |
| 11 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 24 |
| 12 | Achnas ✔ | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 24:39 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Krasava ✔ | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19:28 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 23 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5:56 | -51 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
