Result
1:0 penalties
24/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
- 72', Sarlija Z. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 80', Gnali J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 80', Faraj I. ↓, Miramon ↑,
- 82', Roberge V. 🟨,
- 88', Bruno 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 96', Jairo ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
- 97', Silva J. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
- 103', Milicevic H. 🟨,
- 106', Pepe ↓, Quina D. ↑,
- 106', Rohden M. ↓, Pons P. ↑,
- 106', Dragomir V. ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
- 112', Roberge V. ↓, Danny Henriques ↑,
- 116', Cabrera E. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 119', Chacon Y. ↓, Gama B. ↑,
- 120', Bruno ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
- 1, Orsic M. (Pen),
- 2, Angielski K. (Pen),
- 2, Anderson Silva (Pen),
- 3, Cantalapiedra A. (Pen),
- 3, Tankovic M. (Pen),
- 4, Gama B. (Pen),
- 4, Jaja (Pen),
- 5, Ledes Gustavo (Pen),
- 5, Goldar D. (Pen),
- 6, Garcia A. (Pen),
- 6, Quina D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
30.1% | Draw
30.3% | Paphos
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
AEK Larnaca - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(3.08) |
2.99 ↓
(3.33) |
2.32 ↑
(2.18) |
8.8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 50%). Paphos (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Neo GSP Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.
- AEK Larnaca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paphos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Paphos might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Paphos?
AEK Larnaca has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against AEK Larnaca?
Paphos has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Paphos were as follows:
18.05.2025
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
2:0
13.04.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
2:2
22.12.2024
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
0:1
01.09.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
0:2
06.04.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
3:0
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Draw
2024/251/16-finals| 1 | APOEL | Bye | |
| 2 | Halkanoras | Omonia 29th May | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 4 | ASIL Lysi | Aris | 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Ypsonas | Omonia Aradippou | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Ol. Nicosia | Anorthosis | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Othellos Athienou | Apollon | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Achnas | Zakakiou | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Omonia | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Kitiou | |
| 11 | Karmiotissa | Ayia Napa | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Achyronas-Onisilos | AEL Limassol | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Anagennisi Derynia | Paralimni | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Nea Salamis | Doxa | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | AEK Larnaca | Chloraka | 5 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | PAEEK | |
1/8-finals| 1 | APOEL | Omonia 29th May | 6 : 1 |
| 2 | Pafos | Aris | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Omonia Aradippou | Anorthosis | 2 : 4 |
| 4 | Apollon | Achnas | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Omonia | Kitiou | 7 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayia Napa | AEL Limassol | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Paralimni | Nea Salamis | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | PAEEK | 8 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | APOEL | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Anorthosis | Apollon | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Omonia | AEL Limassol | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Paralimni | AEK Larnaca | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pafos | Apollon | 2 : 0, 4 : 2 |
| 2 | Omonia | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Final
