Result
2:4
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 6
- Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rubio W. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Quina D. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Quina D. ⚽,
- 43', Sunjic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Luckassen D. 🟨,
- 58', Pileas K. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
- 58', Dimata L. ↓, Dragomir V. ↑,
- 62', Goldar D. 🟨,
- 66', Mimovic O. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
- 66', Quina D. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
- 67', Bajic R. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
- 69', Ledes Gustavo 🟨,
- 78', Rubio W. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Anderson Silva ⚽,
- 83', Pepe ↓, David Luiz ↑,
- 86', Miramon ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
- 86', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 4, Dragomir V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
32.4% | Draw
31.1% | Paphos
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
AEK Larnaca - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(2.91) |
3 ↑
(2.99) |
2.55 ↑
(2.5) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y.
(Inactive)
Angielski K.
(Muscle Injury)
Cabrera E.
(Injury)
Izquierdo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paphos: Pedrao
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Ekpolo G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Paphos?
AEK Larnaca has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against AEK Larnaca?
Paphos has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Paphos were as follows:
24.05.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
1:0
18.05.2025
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
2:0
13.04.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
2:2
22.12.2024
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
0:1
01.09.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
0:2
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pafos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | APOEL | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Omonia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 13 |
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Aris | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Apollon | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Achnas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chloraka | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Krasava | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | AEL Limassol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Ol. Nicosia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | -9 | 4 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:16 | -11 | 3 |
| 14 | Paralimni | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1:13 | -12 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
