Ceilandense vs Paranoá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Ceilandense - Paranoá
Result
3:4
12/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, ,
  • 18', 0 - 3, ,
  • 33', 1 - 3, ,
  • 44', 1 - 4, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 78', 2 - 4, ,
  • 87', 3 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Ceilandense
17%
Draw
27%
Paranoá
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 22.2% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6% 20.9% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceilandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paranoá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilandense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilandense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paranoá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ceilandense - Paranoá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.37
    (7.43)
    3.39
    (4.12)
    1.63
    (1.39)
    9.3%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
    • Ceilandense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Paranoá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Paranoá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Paranoá is certain favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceilandense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ceilandense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilandense - Paranoá were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Paranoá - Ceilandense 4:3
    Latest results of Ceilandense
    09.02.2025 Brasiliense - Ceilandense 2:0
    29.01.2025 Gama - Ceilandense 1:0
    25.01.2025 Ceilandense - Ceilândia 0:2
    Latest results of Paranoá
    08.02.2025 Paranoá - Ceilândia 1:2
    01.02.2025 Gama - Paranoá 1:0
    29.01.2025 Paranoá - Samambaia 2:0
    26.01.2025 Sobradinho - Paranoá 0:1
    18.01.2025 Paranoá - Legião 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1