Paranoá vs Real Brasilia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Paranoá - Real Brasilia
Result
2:1
22/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 79', 2 - 0, ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Paranoá
49.4%
Draw
26%
Real Brasilia
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 22.9% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 15.9% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paranoá's form might have worsened.
  • Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Brasilia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paranoá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Paranoá - Real Brasilia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.48)
    3.53
    (4)
    3.74
    (6)
    8.9%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Paranoá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real Brasilia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Paranoá is certain favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paranoá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paranoá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paranoá - Real Brasilia were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Paranoá - Real Brasilia 2:1
    01.04.2023 Real Brasilia - Paranoá 1:1
    25.03.2023 Paranoá - Real Brasilia 1:1
    11.03.2023 Paranoá - Real Brasilia 1:3
    Latest results of Paranoá
    15.02.2025 Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda 1:2
    12.02.2025 Ceilandense - Paranoá 3:4
    08.02.2025 Paranoá - Ceilândia 1:2
    01.02.2025 Gama - Paranoá 1:0
    29.01.2025 Paranoá - Samambaia 2:0
    Latest results of Real Brasilia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1