Result
4:5
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 48', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 65', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 3, ⚽,
- 82', 4 - 4, ⚽,
- 84', 4 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Brasilia
41.6% | Draw
29.8% | Paranoá
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Real Brasilia - Paranoá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.49) |
3.05 ↓
(3.13) |
3.19 ↑
(2.61) |
9.8%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Brasilia won against Paranoá?
Real Brasilia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paranoá won against Real Brasilia?
Paranoá has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Brasilia - Paranoá were as follows:
22.02.2025
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
2:1
02.03.2024
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
2:1
01.04.2023
Real Brasilia
-
Paranoá
1:1
25.03.2023
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
1:1
11.03.2023
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
1:3
Latest results of Real Brasilia
Latest results of Paranoá
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Brasiliense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Samambaia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Sobradinho | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Capital | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Paranoa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Brasilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | ARUC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
| 10 | Brasilia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
