Result
3:2
14/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 8
- Referee: Machalek J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (371/439) | 85% (307/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (371/439) | 85% (307/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 42% (11/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (73/95) | 66% (51/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Chramosta J. ⚽, Jawo L. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Jawo L. ⚽, Chanturishvili V. (A),
- 36', 3 - 0, Jawo L. ⚽, Soucek D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sychra V. ↓, Simek S. ↑,
- 46', Bammens S. ↓, Teah D. ↑,
- 46', Misek S. ↓, Reznicek J. ↑,
- 55', Konecny M. 🟨,
- 58', Vecheta F. 🟨,
- 60', Jawo L. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 1, Mahuta R. ⚽, Simek S. (A),
- 62', Zorvan F. ↓, Lavrincik S. ↑,
- 62', Chramosta J. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Patrak V. (Pen),
- 72', Soucek D. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
- 72', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 72', Vecheta F. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
- 80', Tredl J. ↓, Saarma R. ↑,
- 83', Suchan J. ↓, Alegue A. ↑,
- 87', Sancl F. ↓, Lexa M. ↑,
- 88', Rusek A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nebyla S. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jablonec
66.2% | Draw
20.5% | Pardubice
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Jablonec - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.3) |
4.62 ↑
(4.5) |
7.02 ↓
(10) |
6.6%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Pardubice?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 3.
- Jablonec has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Pardubice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Jablonec has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Jablonec is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Noslin J.
(Convalescence)
Solil T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Polidar M.
(Health problems)
- We predict that Jablonec will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Pardubice?
Jablonec has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Jablonec?
Pardubice has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Pardubice were as follows:
13.04.2025
Jablonec
-
Pardubice
1:0
09.11.2024
Pardubice
-
Jablonec
2:0
16.05.2024
Jablonec
-
Pardubice
3:0
26.11.2023
Jablonec
-
Pardubice
2:1
29.07.2023
Pardubice
-
Jablonec
0:0
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:7 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Plzen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Zlin | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5:4 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Karvina | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Liberec | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15:22 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Ostrava | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Teplice | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
