Result
1:2
08/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 25
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/400) | 60% (143/240) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/400) | 60% (143/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/108) | 51% (51/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', Traore A. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Solil T. ⚽, Smekal D. (A),
- 43', 0 - 2, Smekal D. ⚽, Patrak V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Prebsl F. ↓, Kahuan Vinicius ↑,
- 46', Storman R. ↓, Kacor P. ↑,
- 46', Traore A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 48', Mahuta R. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Samko D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Smekal D. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
- 65', Boledovic T. ↓, Tredl J. ↑,
- 75', Patrak V. ↓, Botos G. ↑,
- 76', Ayaosi E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 84', Tanko A. ↓, Jelinek T. ↑,
- 84', Solil T. ↓, Hamza J. ↑,
- 90+2', Hlavaty M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karviná
43.1% | Draw
25.9% | Pardubice
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karviná's form might have worsened.Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karviná, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pardubice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karviná - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.93) |
3.59 ↓
(3.64) |
3.01 ↓
(3.58) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Karviná - Pardubice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Pardubice (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pardubice will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.
- Recent form of Karviná has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pardubice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pardubice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Karviná might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Fleisman J.
(Muscle Injury)
Furaha J.
(Inactive)
Milic N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pardubice: Godwin E.
(Red Card)
Reznicek J.
(Injury)
Saarma R.
(Injury)
Samuel V.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Pardubice?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Karviná?
Pardubice has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Pardubice were as follows:
04.10.2025
Pardubice
-
Karviná
2:1
24.11.2024
Karviná
-
Pardubice
1:0
27.07.2024
Pardubice
-
Karviná
0:1
19.05.2024
Pardubice
-
Karviná
4:0
14.02.2024
Karviná
-
Pardubice
0:3
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
