Pardubice vs Karviná – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Czech 1 Liga Pardubice - Karviná
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pardubice
36.2%
Draw
27.4%
Karviná
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 27.3% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 26.7% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pardubice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Pardubice - Karviná Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.32)
    3.39
    (3.45)
    2.59
    (2.94)
    7.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pardubice - Karviná?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karviná (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Karviná were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Karviná - Pardubice 1:0
    27.07.2024 Pardubice - Karviná 0:1
    19.05.2024 Pardubice - Karviná 4:0
    14.02.2024 Karviná - Pardubice 0:3
    13.08.2023 Pardubice - Karviná 2:1
    Latest results of Pardubice
    01.10.2025 Pardubice - Baník Ostrava 0:1
    28.09.2025 Teplice - Pardubice 0:0
    20.09.2025 Pardubice - Slovácko 1:1
    14.09.2025 Jablonec - Pardubice 3:2
    Latest results of Karviná
    27.09.2025 Slovácko - Karviná 1:2
    23.09.2025 Táborsko - Karviná 1:6
    20.09.2025 Karviná - Jablonec 1:2
    13.09.2025 Slavia Prague - Karviná 3:1
    30.08.2025 Karviná - Teplice 4:1
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague1081122:101225
    2Slavia Prague1073021:71424
    3Jablonec1073016:61024
    4Zlin1052313:11217
    5Plzen1043317:10715
    6Karvina1050516:14215
    7Liberec1043315:13215
    8Sigma Olomouc104337:6115
    9Bohemians94239:10-114
    10Hradec Kralove1033414:16-212
    11Ostrava102357:12-59
    12Mlada Boleslav922515:24-98
    13Dukla Prague101457:14-77
    14Slovacko101366:13-76
    15Teplice101369:17-86
    16FK Pardubice100469:20-114

          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
          Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )