Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 11
- Referee: Radina M. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (193/281) | 79% (332/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (193/281) | 79% (332/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/91) | 64% (74/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Botos G. ↓, Sychra V. ↑,
- 27', 0 - 1, Krcik D. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
- 37', Simek S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Teah D. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 46', Vecheta F. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Patrak V. ⚽, Tanko A. (A),
- 60', Labik A. 🟨,
- 64', Gning A. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
- 64', Samko D. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 73', Simek S. ↓, Lexa M. ↑,
- 74', Reznicek J. 🟨,
- 81', Saarma R. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Tanko A. ⚽, Sychra V. (A),
- 83', Storman R. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
- 84', Patrak V. 🟨,
- 90+1', Serak J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pardubice
30.4% | Draw
27.8% | Karviná
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pardubice - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.32) |
3.53 ↑
(3.45) |
2.33 ↓
(2.94) |
1.4%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pardubice - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karviná: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Karviná (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Simek D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Karviná: Buzek A.
(Red Card)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pardubice: Konecny M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Sigut S.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Karviná?
Pardubice has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Pardubice?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Karviná were as follows:
24.11.2024
Karviná
-
Pardubice
1:0
27.07.2024
Pardubice
-
Karviná
0:1
19.05.2024
Pardubice
-
Karviná
4:0
14.02.2024
Karviná
-
Pardubice
0:3
13.08.2023
Pardubice
-
Karviná
2:1
Latest results of Pardubice
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 29:11 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Plzen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Liberec | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25:16 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Zlin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 23 |
| 9 | Karvina | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 21:35 | -14 | 13 |
| 12 | Teplice | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Dukla Prague | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Pardubice | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
