Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 12
- Referee: Volek S. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 74% (239/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 74% (239/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (108/147) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Matousek F. 🟥,
- 20', 1 - 0, Tanko A. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Sevcik M. ⚽,
- 40', Reznicek J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lexa M. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 46', Tredl J. ↓, Saarma R. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Sychra V. ⚽,
- 65', Sevcik M. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 65', John S. ↓, Subert M. ↑,
- 65', Vecheta F. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
- 70', Saarma R. 🟨,
- 73', Vojta M. 🟨,
- 74', Simek S. ↓, Teah D. ↑,
- 74', Lehky F. ↓, Zika J. ↑,
- 78', Lurvink L. 🟨,
- 82', Pech Da. 🟨,
- 83', Sychra V. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
- 85', Kostka D. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pardubice
38.3% | Draw
26.4% | Mladá Boleslav
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pardubice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.15) |
3.58 ↑
(3.55) |
2.7 ↓
(2.98) |
6.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Darmovzal D.
(Injury)
Patrak V.
(Yellow Cards)
Vacek K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J.
(Health problems)
Mares D.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Mladá Boleslav?
Pardubice has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Pardubice?
Mladá Boleslav has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
17.05.2025
Pardubice
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:1
22.02.2025
Pardubice
-
Mladá Boleslav
0:3
22.09.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Pardubice
2:2
21.04.2024
Pardubice
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:2
11.11.2023
Mladá Boleslav
-
Pardubice
1:0
Latest results of Pardubice
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Zlin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Liberec | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Karvina | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Ostrava | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Teplice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
