Mladá Boleslav vs Pardubice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lokotrans Arena (Mlada Boleslav).

Chance Liga - Round 26
Referee: Wulkan J. (Cze)
Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.34	0.61
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
1	5
Passes
81% (355/438)	76% (291/383)
Expected goals (xG)
1.34	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.32	0.05
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
0	5
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
17	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
15	11
Passes
81% (355/438)	76% (291/383)
Long passes
45% (30/66)	35% (17/49)
Passes in final third
65% (66/102)	56% (67/119)
Crosses
33% (1/3)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.59
Throw ins
24	34
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
44% (7/16)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
49	43
Clearances
33	8
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.05	2.32
Goals prevented
0.05	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sevcik M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Solil T. ↓, Botos G. ↑,
46', Mahuta R. ↓, Kopasek S. ↑,
46', Tanko A. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
60', John S. ↓, Subert M. ↑,
60', Kozel D. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Kabongo C. ⚽, Langhamer D. (A),
74', Konecny M. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
74', Patrak V. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
78', Kabongo C. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,
78', Sevcik M. ↓, Zika J. ↑,
90+1', Kostka D. ↓, Lehky F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Mladá Boleslav
37.7%

Draw
27.2%

Pardubice
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.27)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.66 ↓ (2.91)	6.8% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Pardubice will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mladá Boleslav: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mladá Boleslav will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
Mladá Boleslav is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pardubice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pardubice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Mladá Boleslav might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Harustak J. (Injury) Klima J. (Injury) Krulich M. (Injury)
There will not play in Pardubice: Reznicek J. (Injury) Samuel V. (Elbow Injury)
There are questionable in Pardubice: Simek S. (Back Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:19. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Pardubice?

Mladá Boleslav has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Mladá Boleslav?

Pardubice has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice were as follows:

18.10.2025 Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav 2:1

17.05.2025 Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav 2:1

22.02.2025 Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav 0:3

22.09.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice 2:2

21.04.2024 Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav 1:2

Latest results of Mladá Boleslav

07.03.2026 Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav 2:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Mladá Boleslav - Sparta Prague 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec 3:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav 0:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Mladá Boleslav - Teplice 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Pardubice

08.03.2026 Karviná - Pardubice 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Pardubice - Teplice 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Slovácko - Pardubice 2:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Pardubice - Jablonec 0:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Bohemians 1905 - Pardubice 1:2 ✺

Czech 1 Liga Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	30	21	8	1	63:23	40	71
2	Sparta Prague	30	19	6	5	60:33	27	63
3	Plzen	30	15	8	7	50:34	16	53
4	Jablonec	30	15	6	9	41:33	8	51
5	Hradec Kralove	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
6	Liberec	30	12	10	8	43:30	13	46
7	Sigma Olomouc	30	12	7	11	34:34	0	43
8	FK Pardubice	30	11	8	11	39:46	-7	41
9	Karvina	30	12	3	15	43:51	-8	39
10	Bohemians	30	10	6	14	26:35	-9	36
11	Mlada Boleslav	30	8	11	11	44:52	-8	35
12	Zlin	30	9	7	14	37:48	-11	34
13	Teplice	30	6	11	13	29:38	-9	29
14	Dukla Prague	30	4	11	15	20:42	-22	23
15	Slovacko	30	5	8	17	26:45	-19	23
16	Ostrava	30	5	7	18	25:45	-20	22

      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
      Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )