São João de Ver vs Paredes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
29
Shots on target
17
Corner kicks
12
Yellow cards
52
Red cards
10
Total shots
29
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
12
Corner kicks
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Yuk J. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Rai Nascimento ,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Erik ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Veiga D. 🟨,
  • 52', Rui Bruno 🟨,
  • 56', Veiga D. , Vasco Rocha ,
  • 56', Yuk J. , Matheus Brito ,
  • 59', Ferreira P. 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 64', Barbosa D. , Erick Gabriel ,
  • 64', Ca L. , Marques P. ,
  • 66', Monteiro J. 🟥,
  • 71', Miguel , Carvalho D. ,
  • 72', Araujo P. , Macedo Z. ,
  • 74', Rai Nascimento , Castro J. ,
  • 74', Rui Bruno , Vilela R. ,
  • 76', Erick Gabriel (Penalty Awarded),
  • 89', Monteiro J. , Serrao J. ,
  • 90+1', Marques P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


São João de Ver
20.3%
Draw
27.8%
Paredes
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 29.7% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 29.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paredes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paredes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São João de Ver - Paredes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.52
    (3.62)
    3.3
    (3.06)
    1.76
    (2.01)
    9.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for São João de Ver - Paredes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • São João de Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
    • São João de Ver is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paredes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paredes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paredes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São João de Ver - Paredes were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Paredes - São João de Ver 0:0
    20.10.2024 São João de Ver - Paredes 4:1
    18.02.2024 São João de Ver - Paredes 1:1
    28.10.2023 Paredes - São João de Ver 0:0
    04.03.2023 São João de Ver - Paredes 1:1
    Latest results of São João de Ver
    Latest results of Paredes
    18.01.2026 Paredes - Amarante 0:0
    11.01.2026 Marco 09 - Paredes 0:3
    04.01.2026 Paredes - Sanjoanense 3:0
    13.12.2025 Paredes - Varzim 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )