Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Carvalho D. ⚽, Yuk J. (A),
- 24', Ferreira P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Castro J. ↓, Firmino H. ↑,
- 46', Jota ↓, Vilela M. ↑,
- 47', 🟨,
- 59', Carvalho D. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
- 59', Vasco Rocha ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 64', Pereira N. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
- 67', Macedo Z. ↓, Araujo P. ↑,
- 67', Yuk J. ↓, Soares A. ↑,
- 75', Valente R. 🟨,
- 76', Barbosa D. ↓, Campas T. ↑,
- 76', Rai Nascimento ↓, Marques P. ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 78', Erik ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Valente R. ⚽, Campas T. (A),
- 90+1', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Monteiro J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Marques P. ⚽, Campas T. (A),
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
São João de Ver
25.5% | Draw
28.2% | Paredes
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
São João de Ver - Paredes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(3.27) |
3.25 ↓
(3.34) |
1.98 ↓
(2.06) |
9.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
- In recent matches, São João de Ver has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paredes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paredes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has São João de Ver won against Paredes?
São João de Ver has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against São João de Ver?
Paredes has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São João de Ver - Paredes were as follows:
25.01.2026
São João de Ver
-
Paredes
1:2
02.11.2025
Paredes
-
São João de Ver
0:0
20.10.2024
São João de Ver
-
Paredes
4:1
18.02.2024
São João de Ver
-
Paredes
1:1
28.10.2023
Paredes
-
São João de Ver
0:0
Latest results of São João de Ver
Latest results of Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
