Le Havre vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Ligue Women - Round 16
  • Referee: Fournier R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.132.12
Ball possession
27%73%
Total shots
221
Shots on target
17
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
212
Passes
62% (157/253)84% (572/685)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
0.132.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.072.39
Total shots
221
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
19
Blocked shots
05
Shots inside the box
214
Shots outside the box
07
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
212
Touches in opposition box
643
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
515
Passes
62% (157/253)84% (572/685)
Long passes
23% (13/57)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
37% (14/38)68% (154/225)
Crosses
25% (2/8)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.121.08
Throw ins
1721
Fouls
155
Tackles
56% (5/9)88% (14/16)
Duels won
2950
Clearances
386
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.390.07
Goals prevented
-1.610.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Kassi S. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Garbino M. ,
  • 34', Mbakem-Niaro E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Kassi S. , Lefevre E. ,
  • 46', Rossi F. , Nassi J. ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Garbino M. ,
  • 51', 0 - 3, Mendy M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 53', Dore M. , Boucly M. ,
  • 53', Mbakem-Niaro E. , Mendy M. ,
  • 58', Hocine C. , Davis D. ,
  • 58', Garbino M. , Jedlinska K. ,
  • 64', Mateo C. , Scott S. ,
  • 70', Effa Effa C. , Demeyere S. ,
  • 75', Greboval T. , Sylla K. ,
  • 76', Le Moguedec A. , Picard O. ,
  • 78', 0 - 4, Azzaro L. ,
  • 90', Gavory C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
14.5%
Draw
21.8%
Paris FC
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 21.4% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5% 19.5% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Le Havre aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Le Havre - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.26
    (6.91)
    4.16
    (4.26)
    1.42
    (1.4)
    10.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paris FC is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.6:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Paris FC were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 3:0
    08.01.2025 Le Havre - Paris FC 0:2
    29.09.2024 Paris FC - Le Havre 8:0
    06.03.2024 Paris FC - Le Havre 3:2
    27.01.2024 Le Havre - Paris FC 0:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    07.02.2026 Montpellier - Le Havre 1:2
    31.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Le Havre 1:1
    25.01.2026 Nice - Le Havre 1:2
    14.01.2026 Le Havre - Fleury 91 1:1
    Latest results of Paris FC
    18.02.2026 Real Madrid - Paris FC 2:0
    11.02.2026 Paris FC - Real Madrid 2:3
    25.01.2026 Saint-Malo - Paris FC 0:1
    French Division 1 Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon W16151061:75446
    2Nantes W1693430:28230
    3Paris FC W1693428:121630
    4Fleury 91 W1685322:111129
    5PSG W1692535:221329
    6Strasbourg W1674521:22-125
    7Dijon W1656514:21-721
    8Le Havre W1644816:32-1616
    9Marseille W1643921:35-1415
    10St Etienne W1623118:28-209
    11Montpellier W16231121:34-139
    12Lens W16231114:39-259

          Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women