Result
2:0
18/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League Women - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Albania | Disney+ |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Q Football Asia, TOD |
Austria | Disney+ |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI |
Croatia | Disney+ |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | Disney+ |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Estonia | Disney+ |
Finland | Disney+ |
France | Disney+, Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV |
Greece | Disney+ |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Disney+ |
Iceland | Disney+ |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Italy | Disney+ |
Kazakhstan | Disney+ |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Disney+ |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Mexico | TVC Deportes |
Netherlands | Disney+ |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Poland | Disney+ |
Portugal | Disney+ |
Romania | Disney+ |
Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
Slovakia | Disney+ |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | Disney+ |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
United-kingdom | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (523/591) | 64% (164/256) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (523/591) | 64% (164/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 31% (15/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (111/150) | 54% (33/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (13/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Greboval T. 🟥,
- 11', Garbino M. ↓, Davis D. ↑,
- 36', Weir C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Weir C. ↓, Toletti S. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Feller N. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
- 64', Le Moguedec A. ↓, Sangare H. ↑,
- 64', Liaigre F. ↓, Jedlinska K. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, N'Dongala M. (Own goal), Navarro E. (A),
- 74', Yasmim ↓, Holmgaard S. ↑,
- 74', Feller N. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 78', Hocine C. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
- 78', Picard O. ↓, Mendy M. ↑,
- 83', Mendez M. 🟨,
- 88', Angeldal F. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
- 88', Caicedo L. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid 67.3% | Draw 18.1% | Paris FC 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.
Real Madrid - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.36 ↑ (1.17) |
5.12 ↓ (6.58) |
6.29 ↓ (12) |
8.9% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Real Madrid (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Real Madrid (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 3 - 75%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Real Madrid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Paris FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Real Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Paris FC?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Real Madrid?
Paris FC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Paris FC were as follows:
11.02.2026
Paris FC
-
Real Madrid
2:3
11.11.2025
Real Madrid
-
Paris FC
1:1
20.12.2023
Real Madrid
-
Paris FC
0:1
14.12.2023
Paris FC
-
Real Madrid
2:1
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Paris FC
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Madrid W (11) | Manchester Utd W (6) | 0 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 3 | Paris FC W (10) | Real Madrid W (7) | 0 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 5 | Leuven W (12) | Arsenal W (5) | 1 : 3, 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 7 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Juventus W (8) | 2 : 0, 2 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Lyon W (2) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Manchester Utd W (6) | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid W (7) | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 3 | Arsenal W (5) | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 4 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Lyon W (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal