Rodez vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez).

Ligue 2 - Round 32
Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.64
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
20	9
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
80% (298/374)	87% (458/525)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.15	0.19
Total shots
20	9
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
10	1
Shots inside the Box
16	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
36	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
80% (298/374)	87% (458/525)
Long passes
51% (31/61)	65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
68% (99/145)	75% (91/121)
Crosses
39% (9/23)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.51	0.70
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
74% (17/23)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
44	34
Clearances
15	22
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.19	1.15
Goals prevented
-0.81	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Vandenabeele E. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Marchetti V. ⚽,
41', Diaw M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Balde I. 🟨,
59', Dicko N. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
59', Cafaro M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
64', Balde I. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
65', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
65', Younoussa W. 🟨,
71', Gory A. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
71', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
76', Lopez J. 🟨,
77', Hamel P. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
81', Taibi W. ↓, Bouchouari M. ↑,
81', Abdallah A. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
83', Doucet L. 🟨,
90+4', Lopez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rodez
30.2%

Draw
27.6%

Paris FC
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Paris FC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The ML Model estimate for Rodez aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Rodez - Paris FC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.02)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	6.3% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Rodez - Paris FC?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.
Recent matches Rodez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Paris FC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Rodez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Cibois S. (Injury) Mambo S. (Injury)
There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Camara A. (Yellow Cards) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Krasso J. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Paris FC: Gory A. (Injury) Sissoko O. (Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Rodez won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Paris FC?

Rodez has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Rodez?

Paris FC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Paris FC were as follows:

01.11.2024 Paris FC - Rodez 3:3

21.05.2024 Rodez - Paris FC 3:2

23.04.2024 Rodez - Paris FC 1:0

05.12.2023 Paris FC - Rodez 2:0

13.05.2023 Rodez - Paris FC 0:0

Latest results of Rodez

18.04.2025 Laval - Rodez 2:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Rodez - Caen 2:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Annecy - Rodez 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Paris FC

19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0 ✺

31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Laval - Paris FC 3:0 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	St Etienne	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Amiens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bastia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Clermont	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Reims	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Troyes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Laval	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pau FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Rodez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Red Star	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National