Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Disney+, FOX One
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, Space Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.45
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
259
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
92% (643/700)77% (226/295)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.67
Total shots
259
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3416
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
97
Passes
92% (643/700)77% (226/295)
Long passes
61% (19/31)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
91% (244/267)65% (52/80)
Crosses
22% (7/32)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
2.280.53
Throw-ins
2011
Fouls
79
Tackles
41% (7/17)52% (12/23)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
731
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
1.671.77
Goals prevented
-0.330.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
  • 25', Dembele O. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽,
  • 45+7', Diaz L. 🟥,
  • 45+7', Hakimi A. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gnabry S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
  • 47', Bischof T. 🟨,
  • 49', Neuer M. 🟨,
  • 66', Ruiz F. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
  • 66', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Neves J. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
  • 81', Olise M. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
  • 84', Stanisic J. 🟨,
  • 84', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 88', Kane H. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
38.9%		Draw
25.1%		Bayern Munich
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 23.1% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 24.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.47 ↑
    (2.14)    		 3.92 ↓
    (4.11)    		 2.71 ↓
    (2.93)    		 3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 15 - 22.7%). Bayern will win (votes: 32 - 48.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 28.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 36.4% – 60.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 29 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Bayern (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Tie (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Bayern (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - PSG (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Bayern (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - PSG (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Bayern (votes: 17 - 50%). Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1.
    • PSG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in PSG: Doue D. (Muscle Injury) Zabarnyi I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:0
    26.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0
    08.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 2:0
    14.02.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Brest - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3 ✺
    21.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain 2:7 ✺
    17.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:4 ✺
    25.10.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich 0:3 ✺
    22.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Club Brugge 4:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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