Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Disney+, FOX One
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, Space Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.45
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
259
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
92% (643/700)77% (226/295)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.67
Total shots
259
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3416
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
97
Passes
92% (643/700)77% (226/295)
Long passes
61% (19/31)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
91% (244/267)65% (52/80)
Crosses
22% (7/32)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
2.280.53
Throw-ins
2011
Fouls
79
Tackles
41% (7/17)52% (12/23)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
731
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
1.671.77
Goals prevented
-0.330.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Diaz L. , Olise M. (A),
  • 25', Dembele O. , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Diaz L. ,
  • 45+7', Diaz L. 🟥,
  • 45+7', Hakimi A. , Mayulu S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gnabry S. , Bischof T. ,
  • 47', Bischof T. 🟨,
  • 49', Neuer M. 🟨,
  • 66', Ruiz F. , Neves J. ,
  • 66', Barcola B. , Ramos G. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Neves J. , Lee Kang-In (A),
  • 81', Olise M. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 84', Stanisic J. 🟨,
  • 84', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 88', Kane H. , Goretzka L. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
38.9%
Draw
25.1%
Bayern Munich
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 23.1% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 24.8% 30.2%

Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.47
(2.14)
3.92
(4.11)
2.71
(2.93)
3%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 15 - 22.7%). Bayern will win (votes: 32 - 48.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 28.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 36.4%60.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Bayern (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1.
    • PSG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in PSG: Doue D. (Muscle Injury) Zabarnyi I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:0
    26.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0
    08.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 2:0
    14.02.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal550014:11315
    2PSG540119:81112
    3Bayern Munich540115:6912
    4Inter540112:3912
    5Real Madrid540112:5712
    6Dortmund531117:11610
    7Chelsea531112:6610
    8Sporting CP531111:5610
    9Manchester City531110:5510
    10Atalanta53116:5110
    11Newcastle530211:479
    12Atl. Madrid530212:1029
    13Liverpool530210:829
    14Galatasaray53028:719
    15PSV522113:858
    16Tottenham522110:738
    17Bayer Leverkusen52218:10-28
    18Barcelona521212:1027
    19Qarabag52128:9-17
    20Napoli52126:9-37
    21Marseille52038:626
    22Juventus513110:1006
    23Monaco51316:8-26
    24Pafos51314:7-36
    25Royale Union SG52035:12-76
    26Club Brugge KV51138:13-54
    27Ath Bilbao51134:9-54
    28Eintracht Frankfurt51137:14-74
    29FC Copenhagen51137:14-74
    30Benfica51044:8-43
    31Slavia Prague50322:8-63
    32Bodo/Glimt50237:11-42
    33Olympiacos Piraeus50235:13-82
    34Villarreal50142:10-81
    35Kairat Almaty50144:14-101
    36Ajax50051:16-150

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