Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich
Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.60
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
04
Passes
76% (270/354)82% (334/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.27
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
76% (270/354)82% (334/407)
Long passes
34% (20/59)63% (34/54)
Passes in final third
62% (39/63)74% (116/156)
Crosses
50% (1/2)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.04
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1213
Tackles
56% (10/18)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
353
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.272.14
Goals prevented
0.270.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Stanisic J. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Musiala J. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
  • 68', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 70', Barcola B. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
  • 76', Kompany V. 🟨,
  • 76', Doue D. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Neves J. (A),
  • 79', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 79', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 80', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
  • 80', Coman K. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
  • 81', Pacho W. 🟥,
  • 84', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
  • 87', Boey S. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
  • 90+2', Hernandez L. 🟥,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
40.8%		Draw
26.7%		Bayern Munich
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 25.7% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.2% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.34 ↑
    (2.14)    		 3.58 ↓
    (3.72)    		 2.96 ↓
    (3.26)    		 4.6%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 39 - 65%). Bayern will win (votes: 9 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 52.9% – 77.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 9 - 60%). Bayern (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - PSG (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in PSG: Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSG: Sanches R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0
    08.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 2:0
    14.02.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    29.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami 4:0 ✺
    23.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    15.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid 4:0 ✺
    31.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 5:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    29.06.2025 Flamengo - Bayern Munich 2:4 ✺
    24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0 ✺
    20.06.2025 Bayern Munich - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    15.06.2025 Bayern Munich - Auckland City 10:0 ✺
    17.05.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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