Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
20/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Pesu A. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.66
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
82% (329/401)83% (327/393)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.12
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2228
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
82% (329/401)83% (327/393)
Long passes
41% (14/34)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
62% (52/84)72% (67/93)
Crosses
17% (4/24)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.12
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1913
Tackles
67% (12/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
1436
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.121.12
Goals prevented
-0.880.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Karchaoui S. , Ajibade R. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Dallmann L. ,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Tanikawa M. , Buhl K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Ajibade R. , Kanjinga M. ,
  • 66', Dallmann L. , Sehitler A. ,
  • 68', Yaya 🟨,
  • 74', Caruso A. , Damnjanovic J. ,
  • 77', Leuchter R. , Morissaint L. ,
  • 77', Yaya , Groenen J. ,
  • 85', Isabela , Samoura T. ,
  • 85', Echegini J. , Elimbi T. ,
  • 88', Harder P. , Gilles V. ,
  • 89', 1 - 3, Damnjanovic J. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
25.7%
Draw
22.9%
Bayern Munich
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 24% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 23.5% 46.6%

Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.56
(3.07)
3.99
(3.9)
1.85
(2.05)
7.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 54.1%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1.
    • Recent performances by PSG have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Bayern has had a series of home games.
    • Bayern could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 2:2
    23.11.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    04.11.2025 Nürnberg - Bayern Munich 0:6
    01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - SGS Essen 4:1
    19.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Köln 5:1
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W431015:21310
    2Lyon W431011:5610
    3Wolfsburg W430112:669
    4Manchester Utd W43016:609
    5Bayern Munich W43019:11-29
    6Chelsea W422012:2108
    7Real Madrid W421110:647
    8Juventus W42118:717
    9Atl. Madrid W420211:386
    10Arsenal W42027:616
    11Leuven W41215:7-25
    12Paris FC W41215:7-25
    13Valerenga W41124:5-14
    14Twente W40223:8-52
    15SL Benfica W40132:7-51
    16AS Roma W40133:12-91
    17St. Polten W40132:17-151
    18PSG W40043:11-80

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