Paris Saint-Germain vs Girona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Girona
Result
1:0
18/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.11
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
232
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
80
Blocked Shots
101
Free Kicks
228
Corner Kicks
51
Offsides
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
817
Yellow Cards
13
Total Passes
687419
Completed Passes
633334
Clearances Completed
1013
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 20', Krejci L. 🟨,
  • 39', Asensio M. , Kolo Muani R. ,
  • 43', Romeu O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', van de Beek D. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 58', Stuani C. , Portu ,
  • 63', Vitinha , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 63', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
  • 63', Ruiz F. , Neves J. ,
  • 66', Gil B. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 66', Martin I. , Solis Romero J. E. ,
  • 74', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,
  • 88', Tsygankov V. , Frances A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Gazzaniga P. (Own goal), Mendes N. (A),
  • 90+2', Dembele O. , Beraldo L. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
74.4%
Draw
15.7%
Girona
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 20.4% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 19.9% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Girona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.51)
    6.17
    (4.7)
    9.91
    (5.98)
    3.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Girona?
  • Users Predictions: 130 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 120 - 92.3%). Girona will win (votes: 4 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 4.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 87.7%96.9%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Girona
    15.09.2024 Girona - Barcelona 1:4
    01.09.2024 Sevilla - Girona 0:2
    29.08.2024 Girona - Osasuna 4:0
    25.08.2024 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:0
    15.08.2024 Betis - Girona 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3