Paris Saint-Germain vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan
Result
5:0
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaPop TV, SportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
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south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
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uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.24
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
713
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Long passes
56% (27/48)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
83% (108/130)66% (42/64)
Crosses
67% (6/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.35
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
137
Tackles
62% (8/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
227
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.242.79
Goals prevented
0.24-2.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hakimi A. , Doue D. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Doue D. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Pavard B. , Bisseck Y. ,
  • 53', Dimarco F. , Zalewski N. ,
  • 56', Zalewski N. 🟨,
  • 58', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
  • 62', Mkhitaryan H. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 62', Bisseck Y. , Darmian M. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Doue D. , Vitinha (A),
  • 65', Doue D. 🟨,
  • 66', Doue D. , Barcola B. ,
  • 69', Thuram M. 🟨,
  • 70', Calhanoglu H. , Asllani K. ,
  • 71', Acerbi F. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 78', Mendes N. , Hernandez L. ,
  • 84', Kvaratskhelia K. , Ramos G. ,
  • 84', Ruiz F. , Mayulu S. ,
  • 84', Neves J. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Mayulu S. , Barcola B. (A),
  • 90', Hakimi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
44.7%
Draw
27.6%
Inter Milan
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.3)
    3.49
    (3.41)
    3.49
    (3.27)
    3.4%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 138 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 91 - 65.9%). Inter will win (votes: 22 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 58%73.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 33 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Inter (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - PSG (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Allianz Arena.
    • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • PSG could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan were as follows:
    01.08.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    23.05.2025 Como - Inter Milan 0:2
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2
    11.05.2025 Torino - Inter Milan 0:2
    06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3
    03.05.2025 Inter Milan - Verona 1:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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