Paris Saint-Germain vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan
Result
5:0
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.24
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
713
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Long passes
56% (27/48)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
83% (108/130)66% (42/64)
Crosses
67% (6/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.35
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
137
Tackles
62% (8/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
227
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.242.79
Goals prevented
0.24-2.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hakimi A. , Doue D. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Doue D. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Pavard B. , Bisseck Y. ,
  • 53', Dimarco F. , Zalewski N. ,
  • 56', Zalewski N. 🟨,
  • 58', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
  • 62', Mkhitaryan H. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 62', Bisseck Y. , Darmian M. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Doue D. , Vitinha (A),
  • 65', Doue D. 🟨,
  • 66', Doue D. , Barcola B. ,
  • 69', Thuram M. 🟨,
  • 70', Calhanoglu H. , Asllani K. ,
  • 71', Acerbi F. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 78', Mendes N. , Hernandez L. ,
  • 84', Kvaratskhelia K. , Ramos G. ,
  • 84', Ruiz F. , Mayulu S. ,
  • 84', Neves J. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Mayulu S. , Barcola B. (A),
  • 90', Hakimi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
44.7%
Draw
27.6%
Inter Milan
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.3)
    3.49
    (3.41)
    3.49
    (3.27)
    3.4%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 138 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 91 - 65.9%). Inter will win (votes: 22 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 58%73.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 33 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Inter (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - PSG (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Allianz Arena.
    • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • PSG could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan were as follows:
    01.08.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    23.05.2025 Como - Inter Milan 0:2
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2
    11.05.2025 Torino - Inter Milan 0:2
    06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3
    03.05.2025 Inter Milan - Verona 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3