Paris Saint-Germain vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan
Result
5:0
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.24
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
713
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Long passes
56% (27/48)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
83% (108/130)66% (42/64)
Crosses
67% (6/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.35
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
137
Tackles
62% (8/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
227
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.242.79
Goals prevented
0.24-2.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hakimi A. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Pavard B. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
  • 53', Dimarco F. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
  • 56', Zalewski N. 🟨,
  • 58', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
  • 62', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 62', Bisseck Y. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
  • 65', Doue D. 🟨,
  • 66', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
  • 69', Thuram M. 🟨,
  • 70', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Asllani K. ↑,
  • 71', Acerbi F. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 78', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 84', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 84', Ruiz F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 84', Neves J. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Mayulu S. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
  • 90', Hakimi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
44.7%		Draw
27.6%		Inter Milan
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.3)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.41)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.27)    		 3.4%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 138 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 91 - 65.9%). Inter will win (votes: 22 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 58% – 73.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 33 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Inter (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - PSG (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Allianz Arena.
    • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • PSG could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan were as follows:
    01.08.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    24.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Reims 3:0 ✺
    17.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 3:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4 ✺
    07.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    23.05.2025 Como - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2 ✺
    11.05.2025 Torino - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Inter Milan - Verona 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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