Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
0:2 penalties
11/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Solh Sports 1
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+, Fox Sports
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bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
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bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
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serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
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slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
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venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.642.56
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1921
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
105
Blocked Shots
68
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
126
Shots inside the Box
1412
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
Free Kicks
614
Offsides
33
Fouls
146
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2821
Touches in the Opposition Box
4431
Passes
79% (426/539)84% (572/677)
Passes in the final third
71% (147/208)76% (104/137)
Crosses
17% (6/35)20% (2/10)
Tackles
68% (13/19)52% (17/33)
Clearances Total
1155
Interceptions
1112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Dembele O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 67', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
  • 73', Diogo Jota , Nunez D. ,
  • 73', Alexander-Arnold T. , Quansah J. ,
  • 90+2', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Marquinhos , Beraldo L. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Mac Allister A. , Jones C. ,
  • 91', Ruiz F. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
  • 101', Kvaratskhelia K. , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 101', Diaz L. , Gakpo C. ,
  • 106', Szoboszlai D. , Elliott H. ,
  • 111', Konate I. , Endo W. ,
  • 120+1', Neves J. , Ramos G. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Vitinha (Pen),
  • 1, Salah M. (Pen),
  • 2, Ramos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Nunez D. (Pen),
  • 3, Dembele O. (Pen),
  • 3, Jones C. (Pen),
  • 4, Doue D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Liverpool
41.4%
Draw
24.4%
Paris Saint-Germain
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 23.5% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 23.3% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.07)
    3.95
    (4.08)
    2.83
    (3.19)
    3.7%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
  • What is the prediction for Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 35 - 42.2%). PSG will win (votes: 33 - 39.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 31.6%52.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Liverpool in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • PSG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Thigh Injury) Gomez J. (Thigh Injury) Morton T. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool 0:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce