Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
0:2 penalties
11/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.642.56
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1921
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
105
Blocked Shots
68
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
126
Shots inside the Box
1412
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
Free Kicks
614
Offsides
33
Fouls
146
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2821
Touches in the Opposition Box
4431
Passes
79% (426/539)84% (572/677)
Passes in the final third
71% (147/208)76% (104/137)
Crosses
17% (6/35)20% (2/10)
Tackles
68% (13/19)52% (17/33)
Clearances Total
1155
Interceptions
1112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Dembele O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 67', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
  • 73', Diogo Jota , Nunez D. ,
  • 73', Alexander-Arnold T. , Quansah J. ,
  • 90+2', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Marquinhos , Beraldo L. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Mac Allister A. , Jones C. ,
  • 91', Ruiz F. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
  • 101', Kvaratskhelia K. , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 101', Diaz L. , Gakpo C. ,
  • 106', Szoboszlai D. , Elliott H. ,
  • 111', Konate I. , Endo W. ,
  • 120+1', Neves J. , Ramos G. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Vitinha (Pen),
  • 1, Salah M. (Pen),
  • 2, Ramos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Nunez D. (Pen),
  • 3, Dembele O. (Pen),
  • 3, Jones C. (Pen),
  • 4, Doue D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Liverpool
41.4%
Draw
24.4%
Paris Saint-Germain
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 23.5% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 23.3% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.07)
    3.95
    (4.08)
    2.83
    (3.19)
    3.7%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
  • What is the prediction for Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 35 - 42.2%). PSG will win (votes: 33 - 39.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 31.6%52.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Liverpool in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • PSG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Thigh Injury) Gomez J. (Thigh Injury) Morton T. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool 0:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3