Manchester United vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
2:1
12/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kulcsar K. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+, Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Three, Disney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.24
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
81% (329/406)82% (363/443)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.00
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
03
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
106
Passes
81% (329/406)82% (363/443)
Long passes
48% (19/40)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)67% (76/113)
Crosses
40% (4/10)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.20
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
610
Tackles
68% (15/22)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5637
Clearances
3013
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.002.48
Goals prevented
-0.010.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Malard M. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Malard M. ⚽, Riviere J. (A),
  • 40', Karchaoui S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Carmona O. ⚽, Groenen J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Rolfo F. ⚽, Sandberg A. (A),
  • 64', Echegini J. ↓, Kanjinga M. ↑,
  • 69', Awujo S. ↓, Toone E. ↑,
  • 73', Ajibade R. ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
  • 74', Groenen J. ↓, Elimbi T. ↑,
  • 75', Rolfo F. ↓, Galton L. ↑,
  • 75', Malard M. ↓, Terland E. ↑,
  • 84', Isabela ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
  • 90', Park J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
  • 90+5', Le Tissier M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
62.4%		Draw
21.7%		Paris Saint-Germain
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 24% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 22.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.6)    		 4.24 ↑
    (3.84)    		 5.85 ↑
    (5.05)    		 7.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - PSG (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 4 - 66.7%). PSG (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Man Utd is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, PSG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Man Utd will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    18.10.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester United 3:1
    10.10.2023 Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    08.11.2025 Manchester United - Aston Villa 0:1
    02.11.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United 2:3
    16.10.2025 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United 0:1 ✺
    12.10.2025 Everton - Manchester United 1:4
    08.10.2025 Manchester United - Vålerenga 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    08.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Fleury 91 4:0
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:0
    19.10.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    16.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    08.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain 4:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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