Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 5 |
Albania | K-Sport 1 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Nova Sport 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, DAZN 1, DAZN France, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | SKAI |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.73 | 1.52 |
Ball Possession |
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36% | 64% |
Total shots |
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9 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Passes |
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80% (265/332) | 91% (543/596) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.73 | 1.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.15 | 0.94 |
Total shots |
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9 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 14 |
Passes |
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80% (265/332) | 91% (543/596) |
Long passes |
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33% (13/39) | 66% (21/32) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (47/67) | 86% (128/149) |
Crosses |
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36% (5/14) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.69 | 1.45 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 20 |
Fouls |
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14 | 13 |
Tackles |
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81% (17/21) | 82% (14/17) |
Duels won |
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46 | 48 |
Clearances |
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23 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.94 | 0.15 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.52 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Hernandez L. (Own goal),
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Lemarechal F. ⚽, Diarra H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez L. ↓, Kamara N. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 1, Barcola B. ⚽, Ramos G. (A),
- 62', Neves J. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
- 62', Moreira D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 69', Sarr M. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 79', Doukoure I. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
- 79', Lemarechal F. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 80', Bakwa D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 83', Tape A. 🟨,
- 86', Doue G. 🟨,
- 89', Ruiz F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg 40.8% | Draw 25.2% | Paris Saint-Germain 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strasbourg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (3.15) |
3.76 ↓ (3.79) |
2.8 ↑ (2.14) |
5% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 28.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 6 - 66.7%). PSG (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 80%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0.
- Strasbourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- PSG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Dembele O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kimpembe P.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Strasbourg?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
19.10.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Strasbourg
4:2
02.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
21.10.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Strasbourg
3:0
27.05.2023
Strasbourg
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
28.12.2022
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Strasbourg
2:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2