Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Nova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, DAZN 1, DAZN France, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceSKAI
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.52
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
80% (265/332)91% (543/596)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.150.94
Total shots
920
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1434
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
80% (265/332)91% (543/596)
Long passes
33% (13/39)66% (21/32)
Passes in final third
70% (47/67)86% (128/149)
Crosses
36% (5/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.45
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
1413
Tackles
81% (17/21)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4648
Clearances
2312
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.940.15
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Hernandez L. (Own goal),
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Lemarechal F. , Diarra H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lee Kang-In , Doue D. ,
  • 46', Hernandez L. , Kamara N. ,
  • 46', 2 - 1, Barcola B. , Ramos G. (A),
  • 62', Neves J. , Ruiz F. ,
  • 62', Moreira D. , Ouattara A. ,
  • 69', Sarr M. , Omobamidele A. ,
  • 79', Doukoure I. , Sylla A. ,
  • 79', Lemarechal F. , Nanasi S. ,
  • 80', Bakwa D. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 83', Tape A. 🟨,
  • 86', Doue G. 🟨,
  • 89', Ruiz F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
40.8%
Draw
25.2%
Paris Saint-Germain
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 25.2% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.9% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strasbourg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (3.15)
    3.76
    (3.79)
    2.8
    (2.14)
    5%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 28.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 6 - 66.7%). PSG (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0.
    • Strasbourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • PSG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Hamstring Injury) Kimpembe P. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 4:2
    02.02.2024 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2
    21.10.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:0
    27.05.2023 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    28.12.2022 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 2:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0
    12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2
    06.04.2025 Reims - Strasbourg 0:1
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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