Result
1:2
01/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 4 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mexico | FOX One |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (266/317) | 91% (635/698) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (266/317) | 91% (635/698) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 69% (49/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (47/70) | 82% (149/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Panichelli J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 22', 0 - 1, Mayulu S. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Doue G. ⚽, Chilwell B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mbaye I. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
- 59', Mayulu S. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
- 60', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
- 72', Enciso J. ↓, Luis R. ↑,
- 75', Hakimi A. 🟥,
- 81', 1 - 2, Mendes N. ⚽, Zaire-Emery W. (A),
- 82', Chilwell B. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 90+4', El Mourabet S. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 90+6', Moreira D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg 19.4% | Draw 22.4% | Paris Saint-Germain 58.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.97 ↓ (5.12) |
4.27 ↓ (4.42) |
1.65 ↑ (1.57) |
4.2% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). PSG will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 63.3% – 89.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 19 - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 16 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Strasbourg (2.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Strasbourg (1.50) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 10 - 47.6%). PSG (votes: 11 - 52.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
- Strasbourg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- PSG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Barco V.
(Yellow Cards)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Kvaratskhelia K.
(Ankle Injury)
Ndjantou Q.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Amougou M.
(Ankle Injury)
Emegha E.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In
(Thigh Injury)
Ruiz F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:47. (average 1.3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Strasbourg?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
17.10.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Strasbourg
3:3
03.05.2025
Strasbourg
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:1
19.10.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Strasbourg
4:2
02.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
21.10.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Strasbourg
3:0
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2