Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg).

Ligue 1 - Round 32
Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Albania	K-Sport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, DAZN 1, DAZN France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	SKAI
India	GXR World
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.52
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
9	20
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
80% (265/332)	91% (543/596)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	0.94
Total shots
9	20
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
3	9
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
14	34
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
80% (265/332)	91% (543/596)
Long passes
33% (13/39)	66% (21/32)
Passes in final third
70% (47/67)	86% (128/149)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.45
Throw-ins
12	20
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
81% (17/21)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
46	48
Clearances
23	12
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.94	0.15
Goals prevented
-0.52	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Hernandez L. (Own goal),
45+3', 2 - 0, Lemarechal F. ⚽, Diarra H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
46', Hernandez L. ↓, Kamara N. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Barcola B. ⚽, Ramos G. (A),
62', Neves J. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
62', Moreira D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
69', Sarr M. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
79', Doukoure I. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
79', Lemarechal F. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
80', Bakwa D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
83', Tape A. 🟨,
86', Doue G. 🟨,
89', Ruiz F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Strasbourg
40.8%

Draw
25.2%

Paris Saint-Germain
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strasbourg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (3.15)	3.76 ↓ (3.79)	2.8 ↑ (2.14)	5% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 28.8% – 64.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 6 - 66.7%). PSG (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 80%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0.
Strasbourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
PSG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Hamstring Injury) Kimpembe P. (Leg Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1.2:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Strasbourg?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

19.10.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 4:2

02.02.2024 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2

21.10.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:0

27.05.2023 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1

28.12.2022 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 2:1

Latest results of Strasbourg

26.04.2025 Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne 3:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Reims - Strasbourg 0:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3 ✺

22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
4	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
6	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
7	Rennes	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
8	Angers	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
11	Lorient	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
12	Metz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
13	Nantes	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
14	Nice	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Marseille	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Lens	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2