Wolfsburg vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Football UEFA Champions League Women Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
4:0
08/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.602.14
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
80% (358/448)76% (237/310)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.602.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.050.65
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
119
Passes
80% (358/448)76% (237/310)
Long passes
41% (22/54)49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
53% (48/91)65% (66/101)
Crosses
24% (4/17)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.62
Throw-ins
3118
Fouls
911
Tackles
38% (6/16)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.653.05
Goals prevented
0.650.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Groenen J. (Own goal),
  • 42', 2 - 0, Peddemors E. ⚽, Huth S. (A),
  • 44', Groenen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Leuchter R. ↓, Elimbi T. ↑,
  • 63', Zicai C. ↓, Bussy K. ↑,
  • 63', Wedemeyer M. ↓, Linder S. ↑,
  • 68', Huth S. 🟨,
  • 79', Echegini J. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
  • 79', Groenen J. ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
  • 83', Beerensteyn L. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
  • 85', Kanjinga M. ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
  • 90', 3 - 0, Popp A. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Ajibade R. ↓, Graziani O. ↑,
  • 90+1', Huth S. ↓, Bjelde T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Peddemors E. ↓, Pujols J. ↑,
  • 90+5', 4 - 0, Minge J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
51.1%		Draw
23.9%		Paris Saint-Germain
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24.4% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 23.3% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.75)    		 3.84 ↑
    (3.8)    		 3.63 ↓
    (4.1)    		 8.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Wolfsburg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    30.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    22.03.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Wolfsburg 0:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    04.10.2025 SGS Essen - Wolfsburg 0:8
    24.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen 4:2
    21.09.2025 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:2
    14.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Carl Zeiss Jena 3:1
    07.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 3:3
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    04.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon 1:0
    27.09.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 6:1
    20.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes 5:2
    06.09.2025 Lens - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    30.08.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Ajax 6:0
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W220011:1106
    2Real Madrid W22008:356
    3Wolfsburg W22006:156
    4Lyon W22005:146
    5Manchester Utd W22002:026
    6Chelsea W21105:144
    7Leuven W21104:314
    8Atl. Madrid W21016:153
    9Arsenal W21013:213
    10Juventus W21013:303
    11Bayern Munich W21013:8-53
    12Twente W20112:3-11
    13Paris FC W20112:6-41
    14Valerenga W20021:3-20
    15SL Benfica W20021:4-30
    16PSG W20021:6-50
    17AS Roma W20022:10-80
    18St. Polten W20020:9-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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