Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 16
- Referee: Di Cicco G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (248/364) | 61% (193/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (248/364) | 61% (193/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 28% (19/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (67/114) | 45% (53/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Rabot I. ⚽, Distefano G. (A),
- 39', Hilaj A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Vigilucci V. ⚽, Massa A. (A),
- 73', Hilaj A. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
- 73', Distefano G. ↓, Leskinen D. ↑,
- 80', Lie N. ↓, Cinotti N. ↑,
- 80', Curraj A. ↓, Giles H. ↑,
- 80', Massa A. ↓, Monterubbiano V. ↑,
- 85', Vigilucci V. 🟨,
- 88', Bahr E. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
- 89', Benedetti V. ↓, Lonati G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Parma
52.3% | Draw
24.1% | Genoa
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Parma - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.64) |
3.79 ↓
(3.8) |
3.87 ↓
(4.93) |
9.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women).
- Recent form of Parma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Genoa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Parma is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Genoa?
Parma has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Parma?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Genoa were as follows:
09.11.2025
Genoa
-
Parma
1:0
19.04.2025
Parma
-
Genoa
1:0
01.05.2024
Parma
-
Genoa
3:1
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Como W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Ternana W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Parma W | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
