Liepāja vs Pärnu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Estonian–Latvian Basketball League Liepāja - Pärnu
Result
98:84
11/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Latvian-Estonian League

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7056
Field Goals Made
3528
Field Goals %
50%50%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4731
2-Point Field Goals Made
2716
2-Point Field Goals %
57.4%51.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2325
3-Point Field Goals Made
812
3-Point Field Goals %
34.8%48%
Free Throws Attempted
2726
Free Throws Made
2016
Free Throws %
74.1%61.5%
Offensive Rebounds
142
Defensive Rebounds
3123
Total Rebounds
4525
Assists
1816
Blocks
14
Turnovers
1113
Steals
47
Personal Fouls
2027

Chances of winning


Liepāja
73.9%
Pärnu
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.
  • Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Liepāja - Pärnu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.39)

    3.55
    (2.77)
    8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 3.
    • Recent matches Liepāja is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Pärnu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Liepāja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Liepāja is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 872:967 (average 79.3:87.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Liepāja won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 413:412 (average 82.6:82.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Pärnu were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Pärnu - Liepāja 81:91
    10.02.2024 Pärnu - Liepāja 83:79
    07.12.2023 Liepāja - Pärnu 75:65
    11.03.2023 Liepāja - Pärnu 102:98
    10.12.2022 Pärnu - Liepāja 90:58
    Latest results of Liepāja
    01.03.2025 Ogre - Liepāja 91:96
    12.02.2025 Liepāja - BK Ventspils 79:98
    08.02.2025 Liepāja - Viimsi 87:54
    04.02.2025 BK Ventspils - Liepāja 103:91
    Latest results of Pärnu
    08.03.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu 103:78
    01.03.2025 Pärnu - VEF Riga 83:96
    26.02.2025 Pärnu - Ogre 57:92
    08.02.2025 Rapla - Pärnu 113:76
    01.02.2025 Pärnu - BK Ventspils 100:90
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1VEF Riga (1)Ventspils (8)2 : 1
    2BK Ogre (4)Valmiera Glass Via (5)2 : 0
    3BC Kalev/Cramo (2)BK Liepaja (7)2 : 0
    4Rigas Zelli (3)Tartu Ulikool (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1VEF Riga (1)BK Ogre (4)2 : 0
    2BC Kalev/Cramo (2)Rigas Zelli (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1VEF Riga (1)Rigas Zelli (3)88 : 82

    3rd place
    2BC Kalev/Cramo (2)BK Ogre (4)92 : 69