Pärnu vs Ogre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:71
07/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Latvian-Estonian League

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6452
Field Goals Made
3121
Field Goals %
48.44%40.38%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3833
2-Point Field Goals Made
2114
2-Point Field Goals %
55.26%42.42%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2619
3-Point Field Goals Made
107
3-Point Field Goals %
38.46%36.84%
Free Throws Attempted
1929
Free Throws Made
1322
Free Throws %
68.4%75.9%
Offensive Rebounds
714
Defensive Rebounds
2128
Total Rebounds
2842
Assists
2016
Blocks
02
Turnovers
822
Steals
153
Personal Fouls
2216

Chances of winning


Pärnu
43.3%
Ogre
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu's form might have worsened.
  • Ogre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ogre's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ogre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pärnu - Ogre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.5)

    1.64
    (2.47)
    7.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 155.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Pärnu - Ogre?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Pärnu (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5, OT - Pärnu (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pärnu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1107:1215. (average 73.8:81).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 452:490. (average 75.3:81.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu - Ogre were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Ogre - Pärnu 71:60
    26.02.2025 Pärnu - Ogre 57:92
    17.11.2024 Ogre - Pärnu 76:87
    09.03.2024 Pärnu - Ogre 73:82
    20.12.2023 Ogre - Pärnu 93:72
    Latest results of Pärnu
    27.12.2025 Pärnu - Keila 76:72
    21.12.2025 Keila Basket - Pärnu 64:81
    17.12.2025 Pärnu - BK Ventspils 73:82
    13.12.2025 VEF Riga - Pärnu 90:80
    06.12.2025 Keila - Pärnu 70:97
    Latest results of Ogre
    04.01.2026 BK Ventspils - Ogre 83:85
    20.12.2025 Ogre - Valmiera Glass Via 90:77
    13.12.2025 Ogre - Tallinna Kalev 111:101
    10.12.2025 TalTech - Ogre 80:77
    05.12.2025 Ogre - Liepāja 76:83
    Estonian–Latvian Basketball League Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Tartu Ulikool222021913:17240.909
    2VEF Riga231852065:18220.783
    3Valmiera Glass Via221662014:17700.727
    4BC Kalev/Cramo221662103:17800.727
    5Rigas Zelli221662004:17490.727
    6Ventspils231672084:19080.696
    7Tal Tech221571848:17670.682
    8BK Ogre2411131955:19160.458
    9Parnu2310131822:18170.435
    10Viimsi226161655:19520.273
    11Keila KK224181791:20890.182
    12BK Liepaja234191838:20490.174
    13Latvijas Universitate213181642:19910.143
    14Keila Coolbet232211784:21840.087

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