Result
09/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Tartu - Pärnu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2) |
|
1.76 ↑
(1.73) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 180.50
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu won 3.
- Recent form of Tartu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pärnu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pärnu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pärnu has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tartu won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:36. (average 2.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tartu won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tartu won against Pärnu?
Tartu has won 18 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu won against Tartu?
Pärnu has won 7 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tartu - Pärnu were as follows:
04.04.2026
Pärnu
-
Tartu
2:3
17.01.2026
Pärnu
-
Tartu
3:2
19.11.2025
Pärnu
-
Tartu
3:2
12.11.2025
Tartu
-
Pärnu
3:1
04.10.2025
Tartu
-
Pärnu
3:2
Draw
2025/26Quarter-finals| 1 | Parnu | Bye | |
| 2 | Barrus Voru | Noortekoondis | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | BIGBANK Tartu | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Selver x TalTech | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Parnu | Barrus Voru | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | BIGBANK Tartu | Selver x TalTech | 3 : 2 |
Final3rd place| 2 | Barrus Voru | Selver x TalTech | 1 : 1 |
