Pärnu vs Tartu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Baltic League

Chances of winning


Pärnu
59%
Tartu
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Tartu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pärnu - Tartu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.52)

    2.24
    (2.34)
    8.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 1.
    • Pärnu is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tartu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tartu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tartu has had a series of home games.
    • Pärnu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Pärnu will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 31:51. (average 1.6:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.9:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu - Tartu were as follows:
    19.11.2025 Pärnu - Tartu 3:2
    12.11.2025 Tartu - Pärnu 3:1
    04.10.2025 Tartu - Pärnu 3:2
    08.03.2025 Tartu - Pärnu 3:1
    08.02.2025 Pärnu - Tartu 2:3
    Latest results of Pärnu
    14.01.2026 Noortekoondis - Pärnu 0:3
    11.01.2026 Selver x TalTech - Pärnu 1:3
    14.12.2025 Pärnu - Võru 3:0
    06.12.2025 Pärnu - Jēkabpils Lūši 3:0
    29.11.2025 RTU Robežsardze - Pärnu 0:3
    Latest results of Tartu
    08.01.2026 TSV Herrsching - Tartu 3:0
    14.12.2025 Tartu - Dubysa 1:3
    10.12.2025 Tartu - TSV Herrsching 3:1
    06.12.2025 Tartu - RTU Robežsardze 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Parnu (1)Bye
    2Selver x TalTech (3)Barrus Voru (6)0 : 2
    3BIGBANK Tartu (2)Daugavpils/Ezerzeme (7)2 : 0
    4Dubysa (4)RTU (5)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Parnu (1)Barrus Voru (6)0 : 1
    2BIGBANK Tartu (2)RTU (5)1 : 0