Result
88:89 OT
23/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Latvian-Estonian League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 80 | 64 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 38.75% | 39.06% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 44 | 25 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 50% | 48% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 25% | 33.33% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 73.9% | 78.8% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
Chances of winning
Pärnu
29.1% | Tartu Rock
70.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Rock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pärnu - Tartu Rock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.98) |
|
1.31 ↓
(1.34) |
8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 159.25
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
What is the prediction for Pärnu - Tartu Rock?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +11.5, OT - Pärnu (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +10.5, OT - Pärnu (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +9.5, OT - Pärnu (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:84.
Preview Facts
- Tartu Ulikool leads series 1-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 0.
- Pärnu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tartu Rock's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pärnu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tartu Rock is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1520:1598. (average 76:79.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 707:745. (average 78.6:82.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu won against Tartu Rock?
Pärnu has won 4 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tartu Rock won against Pärnu?
Tartu Rock has won 14 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu - Tartu Rock were as follows:
20.03.2026
Tartu Rock
-
Pärnu
80:71
04.03.2026
Pärnu
-
Tartu Rock
70:91
01.11.2025
Tartu Rock
-
Pärnu
83:71
14.01.2025
Pärnu
-
Tartu Rock
87:90
30.11.2024
Tartu Rock
-
Pärnu
94:91
Latest results of Tartu Rock
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tartu Ulikool (1) | Parnu (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | BC Kalev/Cramo (4) | Rigas Zelli (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | VEF Riga (2) | Ventspils (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Valmiera Glass Via (3) | Tal Tech (6) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tartu Ulikool (1) | BC Kalev/Cramo (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | VEF Riga (2) | Valmiera Glass Via (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Tartu Ulikool (1) | Valmiera Glass Via (3) | |
3rd place| 2 | VEF Riga (2) | BC Kalev/Cramo (4) | 87 : 72 |
