Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (389/448) | 84% (377/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (389/448) | 84% (377/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (112/137) | 72% (75/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Elsnik T. ⚽,
- 45+2', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dragojevic V. ↓, Karabelyov Y. ↑,
- 46', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
- 59', Katai A. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Radonjic N. ⚽, Ivanic M. (A),
- 62', Trifunovic N. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
- 63', Ugresic O. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
- 72', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Milosevic J. ⚽, Milic S. (A),
- 80', Milosevic J. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
- 81', Handel T. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 84', Simic N. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
- 90+1', Roganovic M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kostic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Partizan
19.4% | Draw
22% | Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.98 ↑
(4.8) |
4.4 ↑
(4) |
1.65 ↓
(1.75) |
3.4%
(3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Crvena Zvezda (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0.
- Partizan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Crvena Zvezda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Partizan has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Partizan?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
12.04.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
2:1
22.02.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
3:3
23.09.2024
Partizan
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
0:4
24.04.2024
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
2:0
20.04.2024
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
3:2
Latest results of Partizan
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Partizan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | TSC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mladost | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Javor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Radnik | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Napredak | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Sp. Subotica | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
